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AC Milan
5:45 PM
November 5, 2026
Ferencvárosi
Prediction published on Nov 3, 2026 6:08 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 3, 2026 6:08 PM
AC Milan host Ferencvárosi in the Europa League on November 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:45 local time at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The teams have made contrasting starts to the league phase: Milan are 24th after one win and two defeats, while fourth-placed Ferencvárosi have won all three of their matches. Milan arrive encouraged by a 3-1 victory over Inter, but their European results have been less convincing. For the visitors, the trip offers a chance to extend an unbeaten run that now stands at 20 matches.
AC Milan have taken three points from their first three Europa League league-phase games. Their sole win was emphatic, a 4-0 away victory over Red Bull Salzburg, but it came between a 2-0 home defeat to Benfica and a 3-0 loss at Bournemouth. Those results leave Milan with a clear need to improve in this competition, particularly after failing to score in either defeat.
Their latest domestic result provided a stronger response. Milan beat Inter 3-1 on October 31 and have won three of their last five matches across competitions, with two defeats. Over that five-game stretch, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Their Europa League averages are lower in attack, at 1.3 scored per game, alongside 1.7 conceded.
Goals have nevertheless been a regular feature of Milan's recent fixtures. At least two have been scored in each of their last 17 matches, while six of their last eight home games have produced at least three. Both of their most recent Europa League matches also cleared that three-goal mark, although in very different circumstances: Milan scored four at Red Bull Salzburg before conceding three at Bournemouth. They have also led at half-time in their last four home matches, giving them another recent pattern to draw on as they return to home ground.
Ferencvárosi have had a much smoother Europa League league phase so far. They opened with a 3-1 away win against Celtic, then beat Viktoria Plzen and Torreense at home. That sequence puts them fourth after three games, and each of those victories featured more than 2.5 total goals. Across the three matches, Ferencvárosi have scored nine times.
The visitors' broader form is similarly strong. They beat Paksi SE 2-0 on November 1 and have recorded four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals while conceding 0.6 per game. They have not lost in their last 20 fixtures and have scored at least once in each of their last 18. That scoring streak extends to their last 14 away matches, a relevant measure ahead of this trip.
Ferencvárosi's matches have also offered consistent goal activity: each of their last 14 has contained at least two goals, and five of their last seven away fixtures have reached three or more. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 14 matches. In the Europa League specifically, 19 of their last 21 games have featured a second-half goal. Those figures underline both their sustained scoring form and the tendency for their games to remain active after the break.
The main question for AC Milan is whether their performance against Inter carries over into Europe. They have shown they can score heavily, as the 4-0 win at Red Bull Salzburg demonstrates, but their two league-phase defeats came without a Milan goal. Facing a side that has scored in 18 straight matches adds weight to the challenge of turning their European form around.
Ferencvárosi, meanwhile, bring an unbeaten streak and a productive attack into a fixture where Milan's recent results have varied sharply. The visitors have scored in 14 consecutive away games, while Milan's last five matches have seen them average two goals both scored and conceded. Those numbers do not settle the outcome, but they do point to opportunities for the scoreline to move beyond a single goal.
The goal trends are especially consistent across the two teams. Six of Milan's last eight home fixtures and five of Ferencvárosi's last seven away fixtures have produced at least three goals. All three of the visitors' league-phase wins have done the same, as have Milan's last two Europa League games. With Milan seeking a better European result and Ferencvárosi arriving in strong scoring form, the supplied results make total goals the clearest focus for this match preview.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
8
2
6
4