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Prediction published on Apr 24, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 24, 2026 6:01 PM
The 34th round of Serie A brings one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season as AC Milan host Juventus at the Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Both sides are fighting for a place in next season’s Champions League, and given their recent numbers, this clash could turn into a tight, low-scoring affair. Milan’s title hopes have faded, but pride and European qualification remain at stake, while Juventus arrive in excellent form and full of confidence.
AC Milan come into this match after a narrow 1-0 away win over Hellas Verona, a result that ended a run of two consecutive defeats without scoring. Despite being out of the title race, Milan have already improved their points tally by 15 compared to the same stage last season, showing progress under their current management. However, inconsistency has been their main issue in recent weeks, with four losses in their last seven matches across all competitions.
At home, Milan’s form has dipped slightly, losing their last two league games at the Meazza — 3-0 against Udinese and 1-0 against Parma — after previously suffering only two defeats in 45 home fixtures. Their attacking output has also slowed down, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over the last five matches. Still, their season record remains solid with 19 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game in Serie A.
One notable trend is that over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 18 of Milan’s last 20 home matches, suggesting that their games often open up after the break. The team is expected to have a full squad available, with several attacking options ready to feature. However, some of their key forwards have struggled for form lately, which could influence their attacking efficiency in this crucial encounter.
Juventus approach this match in excellent shape, having won 2-0 against Bologna in their previous outing. That victory extended their unbeaten streak to eight matches in all competitions and marked their third consecutive win without conceding. Over the last five league games, Juventus have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding just 0.2 per match. Their defensive solidity has been the foundation of their recent success, with only one goal conceded in their last six Serie A fixtures.
In the overall season, Juventus have achieved 18 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. They have also shown consistency in the second half of matches, with over 0.5 goals scored in 18 of their last 20 Serie A games. Moreover, they have led at half-time in six of their last ten fixtures, underlining their ability to start strongly.
On the personnel front, Juventus are nearly at full strength, with only a few players unavailable. Some key attackers have returned to training, which gives the coach multiple options up front. The team’s recent performances have been characterized by balance and discipline, and they will look to maintain that approach in Milan, where they have historically found it difficult to keep a clean sheet against top-six opponents.
The last meeting between AC Milan and Juventus ended in a goalless draw on October 5, 2025, reflecting the defensive nature of recent encounters between these two giants. In their last five head-to-head clashes, Milan have one win, Juventus one, and three have ended in draws, with an average of just 1 goal per game combined (0.4 scored by Milan and 0.6 by Juventus). These numbers highlight how evenly matched and cautious these duels tend to be.
Both teams rely heavily on their defensive organization, and given their current form, another tight contest is expected. Milan will count on home advantage and their improved defensive record, while Juventus will aim to extend their winning streak and capitalize on their momentum. The attacking lines on both sides have shown inconsistency, which could once again tilt the balance toward a low-scoring outcome.
Everything points toward a balanced and tactical battle at the Meazza. Milan’s home advantage could help them control possession, but Juventus’ defensive consistency and recent form make them a tough opponent to break down. The historical trend of low-scoring matches between these sides, combined with their current defensive records, suggests that goals may once again be scarce.
Both teams are in the top four and aware that a single mistake could prove decisive in the race for Champions League qualification. Expect a disciplined approach from both managers, with the midfield battle likely to determine the outcome. Given the statistical balance and the cautious nature of recent encounters, a draw or a narrow win for either side seems the most plausible scenario.
AC Milan vs Juventus prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AC Milan
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
6
4
9
1
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0