On Saturday, November 29, the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium will host the clash valid for Serie A Matchday 13 between AC Milan and Lazio, one of the most anticipated fixtures of the round. The Rossoneri arrive full of confidence after their derby win against Inter Milan and currently sit in second place. The Biancocelesti, coming off a victory over Lecce, travel to the appointment from eighth place, seven points behind Milan. For Allegri’s team, this is a crucial match: a win could allow them to overtake Roma, who are two points ahead and engaged in a difficult matchup against Napoli. Lazio, for their part, return to San Siro two weeks after their 2-0 defeat to Inter, aiming to rediscover an away victory to stay in the race for sixth place, currently held by Como, three points ahead. We have two teams hungry for a win that could mark a significant turning point in their season. After both missing out on European qualification last year, Milan and Lazio are looking for valuable points to relaunch their ambitions and reclaim a starring role this season.

AC Milan's Recent Form and Key Stats

AC Milan enter this match with great confidence, riding a streak of twelve consecutive positive results between Serie A and Coppa Italia, with 8 wins and 4 draws. Enthusiasm has grown even more after last Sunday’s 1-0 derby win against Inter Milan, decided by a goal from Christian Pulisic and the saves of Mike Maignan, who also stopped a penalty from Calhanoglu.

The victory over the Nerazzurri allowed Milan to climb to second place with 25 points, coming from 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Compared to recent seasons, the defensive unit looks more solid and organized, as shown by the 6 clean sheets in the first 12 league matches.

At San Siro, Massimiliano Allegri’s side are unbeaten in six matches, collecting five wins and one draw. In this league start, they have collected 13 home points thanks to 4 wins (Bologna, Napoli, Fiorentina, Roma), 1 draw (Pisa) and 1 loss (Cremonese), averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. A team, therefore, very difficult to face on their own turf.

Lazio's Recent Form and Key Stats

Lazio are experiencing a positive spell, marked by consistent results: the Biancocelesti have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight Serie A matches. In the most recent league match, played last Sunday, Maurizio Sarri’s side comfortably beat Lecce 2-0 at the Stadio Olimpico, thanks to goals from Matteo Guendouzi and Tijjani Noslin.

An important win that allows the capital side to close in on European positions: they currently sit eighth with 18 points (5 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Like Milan, Lazio are building their progress on defensive solidity, keeping clean sheets in six of their last eight games.

However, results away from the Olimpico continue to be lacking: the Biancocelesti have not won away in three matches, collecting two 0-0 draws (against Pisa and Atalanta) and a 2-0 defeat to Inter. Their away record so far is just 5 points from six games (1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses), with only 3 goals scored and 5 conceded.

AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction by BetMines

The prediction from BetMines clearly leans toward an AC Milan victory, with the Rossoneri flying high in the title race and full of momentum after their derby win. According to the algorithm, Milan have a 55% chance of winning, while an away victory does not exceed 21%.

Several factors tilt the prediction so heavily toward the home win, including the advantage of playing at home—where Milan have not lost in three months—and the recent head-to-head record. In the last five meetings, Milan have won three, lost one and drawn one.

From a scoring perspective, the feeling is that this could be a match featuring at least three total goals, as seen in both games last season, which ended 2-2 in the first leg and 2-1 for Lazio in the return fixture. Both teams have enough offensive quality to hurt their opponents, despite being two of the best defensive sides in the league.

Tactically, Lazio—despite playing away—will likely try to maintain possession, one of Sarri’s key principles, while the home side will aim to win the ball in midfield through the qualities of Rabiot and Modric, launching quick vertical attacks toward Leao and Pulisic, who could be devastating in open space. The feeling, therefore, is that this could be an Over 2.5 goals match.

Probable Lineups AC Milan vs Lazio

AC MILAN (3-5-2): Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi; Leao, Pulisic. Coach: Allegri

LAZIO (4-3-3): Provedel; Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Vecino, Basic; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni. Coach: Sarri