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Prediction published on Feb 20, 2026 7:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 20, 2026 7:01 PM
The 26th round of Serie A brings an intriguing clash between AC Milan and Parma, scheduled for Sunday, February 22, 2026, at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The Rossoneri continue their pursuit of the league leaders, while the visitors aim to extend their positive run and move further away from the relegation zone. With both sides showing contrasting ambitions, this encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between a title contender and a team fighting for stability in mid-table.
AC Milan approach this fixture in excellent form, having drawn 1-1 against Como in midweek. That result extended their remarkable unbeaten streak in Serie A to 24 consecutive matches. The Rossoneri have been consistent both at home and away, combining defensive solidity with attacking efficiency. Over their last five league games, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding only 0.6.
Across the season, Milan’s record stands at 15 wins, 9 draws, and just 1 defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. They have found the net in each of their last 19 Serie A matches and have scored at least once in their last 15 home fixtures. The Rossoneri’s consistency is further underlined by the fact that they have not been behind at half time in 29 of their last 32 league matches.
Despite their strong form, Milan will be without their coach due to suspension, but they regain an important midfield presence with Rabiot returning from a ban. The team’s attacking options remain plentiful, with several players competing for starting roles. The home side’s main objective will be to maintain their unbeaten run and close the gap at the top of the table.
Parma travel to Milan in good spirits after a 2-1 home victory over Hellas Verona, their second consecutive win in Serie A. The Ducali have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, moving eight points clear of the relegation zone. Their recent form includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Over the course of the season, Parma’s record reads 7 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Away from home, they have been inconsistent but capable of surprising results, collecting four victories in their last seven away league fixtures. However, they have struggled to start games strongly, failing to lead at half time in 27 of their last 29 Serie A matches.
Defensively, Parma will be without Circati due to suspension, while several attacking players remain unavailable. The visitors will rely on their recent momentum and resilience to challenge a Milan side that has dominated this fixture historically. Their main goal will be to stay compact and exploit counter-attacking opportunities when possible.
The recent meetings between AC Milan and Parma have often produced goals and entertainment. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting Parma’s ability to challenge the Rossoneri. Historically, Milan have had the upper hand, winning 8 of the last 10 home encounters against the Ducali. Across their last five head-to-heads, Milan have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
Given Milan’s attacking consistency and Parma’s recent improvement, this match could see both teams finding the net. However, the hosts’ superior quality and home advantage make them clear favourites. Milan’s ability to dominate possession and create chances, combined with Parma’s occasional defensive lapses, suggests that the Rossoneri will look to control the tempo and strike early.
For Parma, the key will be maintaining defensive discipline and taking advantage of set pieces or quick transitions. Milan, on the other hand, will aim to extend their unbeaten run and keep pressure on the league leaders with another strong home performance.
All indicators point towards a competitive but ultimately favourable outcome for the home side. Milan’s unbeaten streak, attacking depth, and strong home form contrast with Parma’s inconsistency on the road. While the visitors have shown resilience, the Rossoneri’s momentum and superior squad depth should make the difference.
BetMines prediction for AC Milan vs Parma: Home Win (1) with 66% probability. The draw is estimated at 22%, while an away win stands at 13%. Given Milan’s scoring record and Parma’s recent form, a combination of Home Win + Over 1.5 goals could also be an appealing option for bettors.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AC Milan
Parma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
6
4
8
2
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2