AC Milan welcome Venezia to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Friday, August 28, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. This Serie A second-round fixture brings together teams that experienced contrasting opening matches. Milan began with a 2-1 victory away to Torino, while newly promoted Venezia suffered a 2-0 home defeat against Lecce. The hosts are fifth in the early ranking and are targeting another three points in their first home league appearance of the season. Venezia, currently 18th, travel to Milano looking for their first points and goals of the campaign.

AC Milan Recent Form and Key Statistics

AC Milan opened their Serie A campaign by beating Torino 2-1 on August 23. The decisive contribution came after the interval, when Rabiot entered the match and quickly provided the assist for Cissè before scoring Milan's second goal. Torino responded late through Che Adams and also threatened through Comuzzo and Njie, but Milan protected their advantage to give Amorim a winning start.

That result was Milan's first victory in their opening league match since 2023. It also made Amorim the first Milan coach in the last ten years to win his first Serie A game. The early league record therefore reads one win from one match, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Across their latest five fixtures, the Rossoneri have collected two victories, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals both scored and conceded.

The squad was reinforced by the arrivals of Gonçalo Ramos, signed from PSG for 74 million, Moreira and Gila. The futures and roles of several players remain part of the wider selection picture: Leao and Terracciano are doubtful, while Tomori, Fofana and Gimenez have been excluded from the squad. Pulisic could return, and Rabiot and Modric may receive more playing time than they did against Torino.

Home results are an area Milan want to improve. During the 2025/26 season, they won fewer than half of their home fixtures and ended with Serie A's seventh-best home record. Their defeat to Cagliari on the final matchday contributed to them missing Champions League qualification. This match consequently represents an opportunity to begin the new home campaign positively and build on the victory in Turin.

Venezia Recent Form and Key Statistics

Venezia returned to Serie A with a 2-0 defeat against Lecce on August 23. Although they created several opportunities, they were unable to convert any of them and finished the opening round with averages of 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Their broader five-match sequence contains two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals for and 2.0 against.

The visitors earned promotion after a Serie B season in which they established club records for points, goals and victories in a single campaign. Their objective is now survival, having been relegated on the previous two occasions they reached the top flight. Adams arrived as the most expensive signing in Venezia's history and scored twice against Modena in the Coppa Italia, while Yeboah participated in 19 goals during Venezia's previous season.

Several trends underline the possibility of an eventful contest. There have been over 1.5 total goals in Venezia's last ten matches, while each of those ten fixtures has also produced at least one second-half goal. Venezia have led at half-time in their last four away matches and in 15 of their latest 24 games. However, they must respond to a league debut in which they failed to score.

Sverko and Adorante are unavailable. Despite the result against Lecce, Venezia showed that they could construct scoring opportunities, and that ability will be important against a Milan side that conceded late in its opening match.

AC Milan vs Venezia Analysis

The head-to-head record gives AC Milan a clear statistical advantage. Milan have won all four matches included in the supplied Serie A summary, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game without conceding. The latest meeting ended 2-0 on April 27, 2025, and Milan also won the two most recent league encounters by that score. Across Venezia's last four Serie A meetings with Milan, they have conceded 11 goals and scored none.

The current win probabilities assign Milan a 42% chance, compared with 27% for the draw and 31% for Venezia. Both Teams To Score is evenly divided between Yes and No at 50%, while the Over and Under 2.5 goals probabilities are also level at 50%. The available match odds list Milan at 1.38, the draw at 5.00 and Venezia at 8.00.

Milan's winning opening performance, home status and perfect recent head-to-head record support their case, although the late Torino pressure showed that the contest cannot be treated as straightforward. Venezia's strong half-time trend away from home offers the visitors encouragement, but they must become more efficient after failing to convert their chances against Lecce. The contrast between Milan's established head-to-head control and Venezia's recent total-goal patterns creates the central question of this Serie A preview.

Probable Lineups for AC Milan vs Venezia

AC Milan: Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlovic; Chukwueze, Modric, Jashari, Rabiot or Estupinan; Loftus-Cheek, Cissè; Ramos.

Venezia: Stankovic; Schingtienne, Bella-Kotchap, Franjic; Hainaut, Kike Perez, Busio, Basic, Correia; Adams, Yeboah.

AC Milan vs Venezia prediction from BetMines: AC Milan win (1) with 42% probability.