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Prediction published on Sep 5, 2026 6:03 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Sep 5, 2026 6:03 AM
ADC Juan Pablo II welcome Alianza Lima on September 6, 2026, at 20:00 local time for a Primera Division fixture featuring two closely ranked sides. The hosts are eighth, one place behind seventh-ranked Alianza Lima, and return to action after a dramatic 4-3 victory over Los Chankas on August 29. That result formed part of a positive sequence in which ADC Juan Pablo II recorded their first two Clausura victories against ADT de Tarma and Los Chankas. Alianza Lima, meanwhile, are pursuing their objectives after going two consecutive matches without a win, including a 1-0 defeat against Deportivo Garcilaso on August 30. The visitors possess the stronger season record, but their tendency to draw away from home and ADC Juan Pablo II's five-match unbeaten home run in the league could make this a highly competitive encounter.
ADC Juan Pablo II have taken two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their most recent performance produced seven goals as they defeated Los Chankas 4-3, illustrating both their ability to attack effectively and the defensive risks present in their matches.
Across the Primera Division season, the hosts have registered seven wins, six draws and 11 losses. Their averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded, with the latter figure highlighting how regularly opponents have found opportunities against them. ADC Juan Pablo II have conceded at least once in 31 of their last 33 league matches, while 26 of their previous 27 Primera Division games have produced more than 1.5 total goals.
Home form nevertheless gives ADC Juan Pablo II a useful platform. According to the available match context, they are unbeaten in their last five home league fixtures. Draws have also been a recurring part of their recent record, with five of their previous 10 games finishing level. That combination of home resistance and frequent stalemates may help them remain competitive against opponents with substantially better overall season numbers.
Another relevant pattern concerns when the action develops. More than 0.5 second-half goals have been recorded in 25 of ADC Juan Pablo II's last 27 Primera Division matches. Only four of their previous 19 home league games ended with under 0.5 total goals, so scoreless contests have been relatively uncommon in this setting.
Alianza Lima arrive after a 1-0 loss to Deportivo Garcilaso. Their last five-match record remains solid, however, with two victories, two draws and only one defeat. They scored an average of 1.2 goals per game across those fixtures while conceding just 0.8, giving them a more controlled recent profile than the hosts.
The visitors' full Primera Division campaign has produced 15 wins, seven draws and two defeats, alongside averages of 1.7 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. They have avoided defeat in 29 of their last 31 league fixtures, a sequence which underlines their consistency despite entering this contest without a victory in their previous two games.
The away record described in the match information is less convincing from a winning perspective. Alianza Lima have drawn five of their last six league trips and have not won any of those six away matches. They have therefore been difficult to beat but have also struggled to convert road performances into maximum points. Their task is further complicated by the absence of Marco Huamán and Paolo Guerrero for this fixture.
Alianza Lima have also shown considerable first-half stability, avoiding a half-time deficit in 29 of their last 32 Primera Division matches. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their previous 10 league games. Away corner totals have remained modest as well: their last nine league trips produced under 8.5 corners, while each of the most recent four stayed below 7.5.
The statistical contrast creates an intriguing match preview. ADC Juan Pablo II carry momentum from two Clausura victories and have not lost in five home league games, but their season figures reveal persistent defensive vulnerability. Alianza Lima have a far stronger win-loss record and concede only 0.6 goals per league match on average, although five draws in their last six away appearances demonstrate why a straightforward visiting victory is far from guaranteed.
Previous meetings favor Alianza Lima. ADC Juan Pablo II have lost all three recorded head-to-head contests, averaging only 0.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded across those games. The latest meeting ended 2-0 on March 21, 2026. Even so, the current hosts' recent home resilience and Alianza Lima's sequence of away draws suggest that this encounter may be tighter than the historical record alone indicates.
The supplied probabilities underline that uncertainty, placing ADC Juan Pablo II at 37%, the draw at 30% and Alianza Lima at 33%. The goal markets are also balanced in some areas: both teams to score is divided evenly at 50% for each outcome, while under 2.5 goals is rated at 59%. Alianza Lima's strong defensive season supports the possibility of a controlled game, but ADC Juan Pablo II's repeated matches with at least two total goals add a competing trend.
Corners offer the clearest recurring away pattern. Alianza Lima's last nine league fixtures on the road all finished below 8.5 corners, including four consecutive games below 7.5. Those sequences sit comfortably beneath the available 10.5-corner threshold and provide direct statistical support for a low corner total, regardless of whether the hosts preserve their unbeaten home run or the visitors extend their strong overall league record.
ADC Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Lima prediction from BetMines: Under 10.5 corners with 77% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
ADC Juan Pablo II
Alianza Lima
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0