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ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 22-05-2026

ADC Juan Pablo II

1 - 1

FT

Melgar

Micke Palomino

Prediction published on May 20, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on May 20, 2026 6:01 PM

The sixteenth round of the Peruvian Apertura takes us to Chongoyape for an intriguing clash between ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar. Both sides arrive with contrasting dynamics: while the hosts are struggling to escape the relegation zone, the visitors have been climbing steadily after a slow start. This encounter promises to be a test of resilience for Juan Pablo II and a chance for Melgar to confirm their recent improvement in form.


ADC Juan Pablo II’s Recent Form and Key Stats


ADC Juan Pablo II come into this match in a difficult situation, sitting 17th in the Primera Division standings. Their last outing ended in a 0-2 defeat against Alianza Atlético on May 16, extending a worrying run of six consecutive league matches without a win. The team’s main issue has been defensive fragility, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 24 league games. In total, they have allowed 35 goals in 15 Apertura fixtures, the highest in the competition.


Across their last five matches, Juan Pablo II have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging just 1.0 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their overall season record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match. The home ground has not been much of an advantage either, as they have conceded in each of their last 12 home appearances. Moreover, they have trailed at half time in 6 of their last 10 home games, showing a tendency to start slowly.



  • At least one goal conceded in the last 24 league matches.

  • Over 1.5 total goals in each of the last 18 matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in the last 18 fixtures.

  • Lost at half time in 6 of the last 10 home matches.


These numbers underline the defensive instability of the Auriblancos, who will need to tighten up at the back if they want to avoid another disappointing result.


Melgar’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Melgar arrive in much better shape, currently 5th in the Primera Division table. They come off an emphatic 4-1 victory over Sport Huancayo on May 16, a result that extended their positive run to just one defeat in their last five matches. During this period, they have collected 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Their season record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats reflects a balanced campaign, with a strong attack producing 1.7 goals per match and a relatively solid defense allowing 1.2.


Melgar’s attacking power has been one of their main strengths, as they have scored 25 goals in 15 Apertura fixtures — the third-best offensive tally in the league. However, the team faces some challenges for this match, as four players are expected to rest, including forward Johnny Vidales. Even so, the Domino have shown enough depth to remain competitive, especially against struggling sides like Juan Pablo II.



  • Won 4-1 against Sport Huancayo in their last match.

  • Only one defeat in their last five league games.

  • Average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches.

  • Strong attacking record: 25 goals in 15 Apertura fixtures.


With their confidence high and their attack firing, Melgar will look to take advantage of Juan Pablo II’s defensive weaknesses to secure another positive result away from home.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The previous meeting between ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar ended in a 1-1 draw on August 5, 2025. Historically, their encounters have been balanced, with Juan Pablo II yet to record a win against Melgar (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Both teams have averaged one goal scored and one conceded in these head-to-head clashes, suggesting a relatively even matchup.


From a tactical standpoint, this game could hinge on whether Juan Pablo II can withstand Melgar’s offensive pressure. The hosts tend to concede early and struggle to recover, while Melgar often dominate possession and create multiple scoring chances. Given the home side’s defensive record and the visitors’ attacking form, goals are likely to feature prominently in this encounter.


For Juan Pablo II, improving defensive organization will be key. They have allowed goals in every home game this season and often lose momentum after conceding. Melgar, on the other hand, will aim to maintain their attacking rhythm despite the absence of some key players. If they can control the tempo and exploit spaces behind the home defense, they stand a strong chance of taking all three points.


BetMines Prediction


Juan Pablo II vs Melgar prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.

ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar - Predictions

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ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

ADC Juan Pablo II

Melgar

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar in Primera Division

Apertura - Ranking

Team

5

Melgar

17

8

4

5

29:20

28

1.65

W
D
W
D
W
18

ADC Juan Pablo II

17

4

4

9

22:40

16

0.94

L
L
L
D
L
Champion Play-off

Clausura - Ranking

Team

2

Melgar

1

1

0

0

3:1

3

3

W
11

ADC Juan Pablo II

1

0

1

0

2:2

1

1

D
Champion Play-off

Who will win ?

ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar be played?
The Primera Division match between ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar will be played on May 22, 2026 at 20:00.
Who will referee ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar?
The referee for the match will be Micke Palomino.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar in the Primera Division?
The odds are: ADC Juan Pablo II to win 3.80, draw 3.60, Melgar to win 1.85.
What are the betting odds for ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.85 and Under 2.5 at 1.95.
Will both ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.72, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for ADC Juan Pablo II vs Melgar in the Primera Division?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches between ADC Juan Pablo II and Melgar, ADC Juan Pablo II won 0 times, Melgar won 0, and 2 ended in a draw.

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