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Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 10:03 PM
ADC Juan Pablo II host Sport Boys in Peru’s Primera Division on October 17, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 local time. The home side enter the fixture unbeaten in six Clausura matches and are ranked sixth in the Primera Division, three places above Sport Boys. Their recent results offer a contrast: ADC Juan Pablo II have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, while Sport Boys have gone four games without a win across all competitions. The visitors’ defensive record over that stretch adds to the challenge, although the teams’ most recent meeting ended level. It sets up a match between a home side scoring freely and an away side seeking to halt a difficult run.
ADC Juan Pablo II drew 1-1 with Comerciantes Unidos on October 10, extending a productive spell rather than adding another victory to it. Their last five matches have brought three wins and two draws, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Across their first 11 Clausura league rounds, they have scored 21 times, and Janio Posito has contributed six goals and one assist. Those figures help explain why the home side come into this fixture with confidence in their attacking output.
Playing in Chongoyape has also suited ADC Juan Pablo II during this Clausura: they have not lost any of their first five home games there. The wider Primera Division season tells a more mixed story, with nine wins, eight draws and 11 defeats, alongside averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Their current unbeaten run therefore stands out against their broader record, but it does not erase the possibility of conceding.
The goals trend is particularly clear when looking at their matches as a whole. At least two total goals have been scored in 30 of ADC Juan Pablo II’s last 31 Primera Division games; that statistic counts goals by both teams, not just the home side. There has also been at least one second-half goal in 28 of their last 31 league matches. These runs suggest that their fixtures have rarely remained low-scoring throughout, even when the final result has been close.
Sport Boys arrive after a 3-1 home defeat to Alianza Atlético on October 11. They have taken one win and one draw from their last five matches, losing the other three. Over those five games, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.4 goals conceded per match, a defensive figure that matches the 12 goals they have allowed in that span. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive matches.
That recent defensive run differs sharply from Sport Boys’ full-season Primera Division average of 1.0 goal conceded per game. Their overall league record stands at ten wins, eight draws and ten defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored. The visitors have therefore shown greater defensive consistency across the season than in their latest results. Against an ADC Juan Pablo II side that has scored 21 goals in 11 Clausura rounds, restoring some of that earlier resilience will be important.
Sport Boys have not won in Chongoyape against ADC Juan Pablo II, according to the supplied match record. That is a relevant away-game hurdle, but the broader head-to-head results are balanced rather than one-sided: from ADC Juan Pablo II’s perspective, the record is one win, one draw and one defeat. The latest meeting, on April 26, 2026, finished 1-1, showing that the visitors have been able to take a result from this matchup.
The strongest case for ADC Juan Pablo II comes from the combination of current form and home results. They have won three of their last five matches without losing, remain unbeaten through their first five Clausura home fixtures in Chongoyape, and face a Sport Boys side that has conceded heavily in its last five outings. With Posito accounting for six of their 21 Clausura goals, the hosts also have an explicitly documented contributor to their scoring record.
There are reasons to expect resistance rather than assume a comfortable result. ADC Juan Pablo II’s season-long average of 1.9 goals conceded is substantial, and they allowed 1.2 per game even across their unbeaten last five. Sport Boys’ season average of 1.0 conceded also offers a more favorable view of the visitors than their recent results alone. The 1-1 draw in April reinforces that this fixture need not follow the pattern suggested by either side’s latest form.
Still, the immediate indicators favor the home team. ADC Juan Pablo II have been more productive in front of goal recently, while Sport Boys have conceded 12 times in five games and are looking to end a four-match winless sequence. With the hosts also unbeaten in their first five home games of this Clausura, their recent momentum provides the clearest basis for a match outlook, even if their own defensive figures leave room for a competitive contest.
ADC Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys prediction from BetMines: ADC Juan Pablo II win (1) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
ADC Juan Pablo II
Sport Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2