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Adelaide United
1 - 1
FT
Wellington Phoenix
Prediction published on Mar 4, 2026 11:01 AM by Dario in Australia - A-League Men | Modified on Mar 4, 2026 11:01 AM
Friday’s A-League Men fixture brings an intriguing clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix at Coopers Stadium. The hosts are currently sitting fourth in the standings, while the visitors occupy the bottom spot. Both sides are eager to change their recent fortunes, with Adelaide looking to extend their unbeaten run and Wellington desperate to end a worrying sequence of results.
Adelaide United come into this match after a 1-1 draw away to Melbourne Victory on February 27, a result that left them two points behind third-placed Sydney FC. Despite that, the Reds have shown consistency in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in their last three league outings (two wins and one draw). Their attacking output has been one of the best in the competition, with 33 goals scored so far — the second-highest tally in the league.
At home, Adelaide have been particularly strong. They have collected 19 points from 10 home matches (six wins, one draw, three defeats) and boast the best home record in the division. Moreover, they are unbeaten in their last six home meetings against Wellington Phoenix, a streak that underlines their dominance at Coopers Stadium. The team’s season record stands at nine wins, three draws, and seven losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Adelaide’s matches tend to be open and entertaining. There have been over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 league games, and over 0.5 goals in the second half in 37 of their last 40. The Reds also tend to start games brightly, with over 0.5 goals at half time in their last 12 fixtures. These trends suggest another lively encounter could be on the cards.
Wellington Phoenix find themselves in a difficult position after a 1-0 defeat to Sydney FC on March 1, their ninth loss of the campaign. The result extended their winless streak to six matches (two draws and four defeats), during which they have conceded 17 goals. Their defensive struggles have been a major issue, with 39 goals conceded this season — eight more than any other team in the league.
Despite their lowly position, the Nix have shown some resilience away from home. They have earned seven of their nine away points in their last four road games (two wins, one draw, one loss). However, their overall away record remains poor, with just two wins from eight matches. The team’s season record stands at five wins, five draws, and nine defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match.
Defensive lapses have been a recurring theme for Wellington. They have conceded at least one goal in 29 of their last 31 league matches, and over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of their last 15 games. Even when playing away, their matches rarely stay goalless for long, with over 0.5 second-half goals in their last 11 away fixtures. These patterns highlight their vulnerability but also their tendency to be involved in high-scoring encounters.
When these two sides meet, goals are almost guaranteed. Their last head-to-head ended in a 2-2 draw on January 11, and each of the last six meetings has seen both teams find the net. Historically, the matchup has been balanced, with Adelaide winning twice, Wellington winning twice, and one draw in their last five encounters. Both teams average two goals scored and two conceded in those games, reflecting their attacking intent and defensive fragility.
Adelaide’s attacking form, combined with Wellington’s defensive issues, suggests that the home side will create plenty of chances. However, the visitors have also shown they can score on the road, and their recent away performances indicate they are capable of troubling the Reds’ backline. Given both teams’ tendencies to produce open matches, another high-scoring contest seems likely.
Fans can expect an entertaining fixture with plenty of attacking football. Adelaide will aim to capitalize on their strong home form and climb closer to the top three, while Wellington will fight to avoid another defeat that could deepen their struggles at the bottom of the table.
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
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Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2