Tools
ADO Den Haag
3 - 2
FT
De Graafschap
Prediction published on Nov 23, 2025 8:06 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 23, 2025 8:06 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie continues on Tuesday, November 25, with an exciting clash between ADO Den Haag and De Graafschap in the 17th round of the season. The spotlight will be on how ADO respond after suffering their first league defeat of the campaign. Despite that setback, the team from The Hague remain top of the table, three points clear, and with two games in hand. De Graafschap, meanwhile, sit seventh with 25 points from 15 matches and are showing strong form heading into this encounter.
After a near-perfect start to the season, ADO Den Haag finally stumbled last weekend, losing 2-0 away to their closest rivals SC Cambuur. Before that, they had recorded convincing wins over Roda JC (4-0) and MVV Maastricht (3-4). Their only other disappointment came in the KNVB Cup, where they were eliminated by FC Den Bosch on penalties. Still, their overall record in the Eerste Divisie remains outstanding: 13 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 defeat, with an average of 2.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
At home, ADO have been particularly dominant, winning their last 10 league matches at the Bingoal Stadion while scoring at least two goals in each. They have not drawn at home in their last 18 league fixtures, underlining their attacking intent and ability to turn games in their favor. Another key trend is their consistency after the break — there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last 22 league matches. Moreover, ADO have not trailed at halftime in their last 19 Eerste Divisie games, showing how well they start matches.
Coach Darije Kalezic’s side have built their success on a balanced approach: a solid defense combined with a dynamic attack led by players who can score from multiple positions. Their ability to maintain control and respond quickly after setbacks will be tested again against an in-form opponent.
De Graafschap arrive in The Hague full of confidence after three consecutive victories. Following their KNVB Cup exit to GVVV (4-2), they bounced back impressively, defeating FC Den Bosch (1-2), RKC Waalwijk (1-4), and Helmond Sport (3-1). This run has propelled them into the top seven, with a record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, reflecting both their attacking flair and occasional defensive vulnerabilities.
One of the main concerns for coach Jan Vreman will be the team’s defensive consistency. De Graafschap have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 league games and in their last 13 away fixtures. However, their attacking output has been impressive, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 13 matches. Their away form has also been entertaining, with goals in both halves and plenty of action in front of goal — a pattern that could continue in The Hague.
Set pieces and quick transitions have been key to De Graafschap’s recent success. Their ability to exploit space behind the opposition’s defense has made them dangerous, especially when playing on the counter. However, against a side as structured as ADO Den Haag, they will need to be clinical with the few chances they create.
This fixture promises to be one of the highlights of the midweek round in the Eerste Divisie. ADO Den Haag will look to reassert their dominance after the loss to Cambuur, while De Graafschap aim to extend their winning streak and close the gap on the top positions. Historically, ADO have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 victory earlier this year.
Both teams are known for their attacking style, which often leads to open and high-scoring encounters. ADO’s home matches have consistently delivered goals, with over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 home league games. De Graafschap’s recent fixtures have followed a similar pattern, with over 1.5 goals in their last 12 league outings. Given these trends, fans can expect an entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action.
While ADO’s attacking power and home advantage make them favorites, De Graafschap’s recent momentum cannot be ignored. The visitors have shown resilience and the ability to score against strong opponents, but their defensive lapses could prove costly against the league leaders. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where ADO’s control and De Graafschap’s pressing intensity will determine the rhythm of the game.
The most likely outcome is a ADO Den Haag win (1) with a 63% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 19%, while a De Graafschap win (2) stands at 18%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
6
4
1
9
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3