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ADT
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Sport Huancayo
Prediction published on Aug 29, 2026 3:33 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Aug 29, 2026 3:33 AM
ADT host Sport Huancayo on August 30, 2026, at 18:15 local time in the Peruvian Primera Division. The regional rivals meet at the Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma with both sides looking to move away from a difficult run of results. ADT are ranked 17th, while Sport Huancayo occupy 13th place. Although the home side had gone through the opening six Clausura rounds without a victory, their latest result brought some relief in the form of a 2-0 win over UCV Moquegua. The visitors arrive after a heavy 4-1 defeat against Sporting Cristal and have struggled to keep opponents out. With both teams showing defensive weaknesses and the available statistics repeatedly pointing towards goals, this ADT vs Sport Huancayo preview focuses on a contest that could remain open until the final stages.
ADT will hope that the appointment of Uruguayan coach Francisco Usúcar can help change their trajectory. Before the latest victory, the team had failed to win any of its first six Clausura fixtures and conceded 12 goals during that sequence. That defensive record underlined the main problem facing the “Vendaval Celeste”, but the 2-0 success against UCV Moquegua on August 27 at least provided a timely positive result before this regional meeting.
Across their last five matches, ADT have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game over that period, numbers which show why consistency has been difficult to achieve. Their wider Primera Division record stands at five wins, seven draws and 11 losses, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 allowed per match.
One encouraging feature for the hosts is their ability to make an early impact against Sport Huancayo. ADT have opened the scoring in six of their last seven encounters with this opponent. Their head-to-head summary from the supplied data is also positive, with three wins and two defeats, accompanied by averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. However, the most recent meeting ended in a 1-0 result on June 26, so the home side cannot expect an easy route through this fixture.
Sport Huancayo enter the match following a 4-1 loss to Sporting Cristal on August 26. The “Rojo Matador” had already been experiencing a difficult period in the Clausura, including a three-game winless sequence mentioned in the match context. Defensive performance has been a particular concern for the team coached by Richard Pellejero, with 40 goals conceded across 23 league matches. They had also failed to register a clean sheet in four consecutive games.
The visitors’ last-five record consists of one victory, one draw and three defeats. While they have scored an average of 1.0 goal per game during that run, they have conceded 2.2, giving them a weaker recent defensive average than ADT. Their overall Primera Division figures are six wins, five draws and 12 defeats, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
Goal-related trends are especially prominent in Sport Huancayo’s league fixtures. These figures refer to total goals scored by both teams in the relevant matches:
Those sequences suggest that Sport Huancayo’s matches regularly produce action in both halves. Their recent 4-1 defeat is another indication of how quickly games can move away from them when the defensive unit is unable to contain the opposition.
This regional fixture brings together two teams with a strong need for points and clear defensive issues. ADT’s 12 goals conceded across their opening six Clausura rounds and Sport Huancayo’s 40 goals allowed in 23 league fixtures create the conditions for an open contest. The visitors’ average of 2.2 goals conceded across their last five matches is particularly significant, although ADT must improve on a recent scoring average of only one goal per game if they are to take full advantage.
The home side should gain confidence from the clean-sheet victory over UCV Moquegua and from their record of scoring first in six of the last seven meetings with Sport Huancayo. The supplied win probabilities also favor ADT at 58%, compared with 24% for a draw and 18% for an away victory. Nevertheless, the visitors average slightly more goals across the season, scoring 1.2 per match compared with ADT’s 1.1, so they still carry enough attacking potential to contribute.
There is some contrast between the latest head-to-head score and the broader current trends. The previous encounter finished 1-0, while the five-match head-to-head summary produces relatively modest averages. The present defensive records, however, point in another direction. Sport Huancayo’s run of 16 consecutive league games with at least two total goals, together with their 11-match away sequence at the same threshold, supports the expectation of more scoring opportunities this time.
The timing data adds another layer to the analysis. Every one of Sport Huancayo’s last 11 away Primera Division fixtures has featured a goal before half-time, while second-half goals have been present in 19 of their last 20 league matches. ADT may again look to strike first, but Sport Huancayo’s recurring goal patterns mean the game could continue to develop after the interval. The Over 2.5 goals probability is 53%, narrowly ahead of Under 2.5 at 47%, while Both Teams To Score is assessed at 52% for Yes and 48% for No. Given the repeated goal trends and the defensive difficulties described for both sides, a match with at least three goals is the most coherent conclusion.
ADT vs Sport Huancayo prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
ADT
Sport Huancayo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2