The upcoming clash in the Peruvian Primera División brings together two sides with contrasting starts to the season, as ADT de Tarma host UTC Cajamarca at the Estadio Unión Tarma. This fixture, part of matchday four, promises intensity and ambition from both teams. The home side are looking to recover from a slow start, while the visitors aim to extend their perfect run and stay near the top of the table.

ADT de Tarma: Seeking Stability at Home

ADT have endured a difficult beginning to their campaign, collecting just one win and two defeats in their first three league outings. Their latest result was a narrow 1-0 loss against Deportivo Garcilaso on February 14, a setback that left them in 13th place in the standings. Despite this, the “Vendaval Celeste” have shown resilience when playing in Tarma, where they have lost only two of their last ten home matches in the league.

Recent statistics underline a team that tends to keep things tight. In their last five matches, ADT have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their defensive discipline is evident, but the lack of attacking efficiency remains a concern. Interestingly, they have led at half time in their last three home matches, showing that early momentum could be key to their success.

Another notable trend is the low-scoring nature of their games. Under 1.5 goals have been recorded at half time in 21 of their last 23 league fixtures, reflecting a cautious approach and a preference for structured play. If ADT can combine their solid defensive base with sharper finishing, they could turn their home advantage into valuable points.

UTC Cajamarca: Riding the Wave of Confidence

UTC Cajamarca arrive in Tarma full of confidence after a flawless start to the season. The “Gavilán del Norte” have won all three of their opening matches, including a 1-0 victory over Cusco FC on February 13. Their strong form has propelled them to second place in the table, with an impressive attacking record of six goals scored and only two conceded so far.

In their last five matches, UTC have achieved three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their offensive strength has been a defining feature, with the team averaging two goals per match in the current league campaign. Away from home, they have also shown improvement, losing just one of their last five away fixtures in the Primera División. This consistency on the road suggests they are capable of challenging even in difficult environments like Tarma.

UTC’s attacking efficiency contrasts with ADT’s defensive solidity, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. The visitors’ ability to find the net regularly could test the hosts’ backline, especially if they maintain their current rhythm and confidence.

Head-to-Head and Key Statistics

Historically, ADT have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings with UTC Cajamarca, ADT remain unbeaten with three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. Their most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of ADT on September 16, 2025, a result that will surely boost their confidence ahead of this new chapter.

• ADT ranking: 13th in Primera División


• UTC Cajamarca ranking: 2nd in Primera División


• ADT season stats: W 1 · D 0 · L 2 · Avg goals 0.3 · Avg conceded 1.0


• UTC Cajamarca season stats: W 3 · D 0 · L 0 · Avg goals 2.0 · Avg conceded 0.7


• Win probabilities: ADT 59% · Draw 23% · UTC Cajamarca 18%


• Over 2.5 goals: 52% probability


• Both Teams To Score: 50% probability

These numbers highlight a clear contrast: ADT’s defensive discipline versus UTC’s attacking flair. The home side’s challenge will be to contain UTC’s offensive momentum while capitalizing on their own home strength.

ADT vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction and Final Analysis

This match promises to be a fascinating contest between two teams with opposing styles. ADT will rely on their solid home record and defensive organization to frustrate their opponents, while UTC Cajamarca will look to continue their winning streak through quick transitions and efficient finishing. Given ADT’s tendency to start strong at home and UTC’s attacking form, the game could open up in the second half as both sides push for control.

While the visitors have been impressive, the home advantage and ADT’s historical dominance in this fixture suggest that the hosts could secure at least a point. Expect a competitive match with moments of tension and a few decisive chances at both ends.

ADT vs UTC Cajamarca prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 59% probability.