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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 7:18 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 7:18 AM
Matchday two of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa Conference League brings an intriguing clash between AEK Athens and Aberdeen at the OPAP Arena. Both sides are still searching for their first win in the league phase, with AEK sitting 27th and Aberdeen 21st in the standings. The Greek side will look to make home advantage count, while the Scottish visitors aim to build on their recent domestic revival. This encounter promises to be a competitive one, with both teams eager to turn their European fortunes around.
AEK Athens reached the league phase after a strong qualifying campaign, remaining unbeaten across six matches against Hapoel Beer Sheva, Aris, and Anderlecht. Their 3-1 aggregate victory over the Belgian side in the play-offs showcased their resilience and attacking depth. However, their group stage debut ended in disappointment, suffering a 3-1 defeat away to NK Celje. That setback was followed by a 3-0 league win over Radomlje and a goalless draw against Olimpija Ljubljana, underlining their inconsistency in recent weeks.
At home, AEK have been formidable. The OPAP Arena has witnessed six wins in their last eight matches (D1, L1), including two victories in the Conference League. Their defensive record in Europe remains solid, with only one defeat in their last seven fixtures in the competition. Despite this, the team’s recent 0-2 league loss to PAOK highlighted vulnerabilities that head coach Marko Nikolic must address.
Injuries have also complicated matters for the Greek side. As many as nine players are unavailable, including Alexander Callens (heart condition) and Roberto Pereyra (muscle injury). The defensive pairing of Harold Moukoudi and Domagoj Vida is expected to anchor the backline once again. Up front, Luka Jovic will lead the attack, hoping to rediscover his scoring touch after netting just once in seven appearances this season. His ability to convert chances could be crucial if AEK are to secure their first group stage victory.
Aberdeen entered the Conference League after falling short in the Europa League play-offs, losing 5-2 on aggregate to FCSB. Their opening group match ended in a narrow 3-2 defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk, a result that left them among the 16 teams still without a win in the league phase. Domestically, however, the Scottish side have shown signs of improvement, claiming back-to-back victories over Dundee FC and St. Mirren following a six-match winless streak.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Aberdeen have registered two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their attacking form has been boosted by Jesper Karlsson, who has scored three goals in his last three appearances, including a penalty in the early stages of the Shakhtar clash. His creativity and finishing will once again be vital if the Dons are to trouble the Greek defense.
Manager Jimmy Thelin will have to cope without Kristers Tobers and Gavin Molloy, both sidelined through injury. Despite these absences, Aberdeen’s recent performances suggest growing confidence, particularly in attack. The Scottish side have seen over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 matches, indicating their tendency to grow stronger as games progress.
Both teams approach this fixture with similar objectives but contrasting styles. AEK Athens will rely on their structured defensive setup and home advantage, while Aberdeen’s recent attacking resurgence could make them dangerous on the counter. The Greek side’s record of just one defeat in seven Conference League matches suggests they are well-equipped to handle European pressure, but their current injury list could limit their options in key areas.
Aberdeen’s away form remains inconsistent, yet their ability to find the net in recent games cannot be overlooked. With Karlsson in fine form and AEK’s defense missing key personnel, the visitors are likely to create chances. However, AEK’s strong home record and experience in continental competition make them slight favorites to edge this contest.
Historically, matches involving these sides have produced goals, and given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities, another open encounter seems likely. AEK’s attacking potential at home combined with Aberdeen’s recent scoring streak points toward a lively affair in Athens.
AEK Athens vs Aberdeen prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a AEK Athens win (1) with a 59% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while an Aberdeen win (2) stands at 19%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AEK Athens
Aberdeen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1