AFC Bournemouth host Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium on Wednesday, October 28, with a place in the next round of the Carabao Cup at stake. The sides drew 1-1 at this ground in February, and both return in strong form: Bournemouth have just beaten Manchester United 3-0, while Villa arrive after a 2-1 victory over Manchester City. Each has won its Carabao Cup match so far, setting up a fourth-round meeting between two teams that have been scoring regularly.

AFC Bournemouth's Recent Form and Key Stats

AFC Bournemouth travel into this fixture on the back of a 3-0 away win against Manchester United on October 25. It was their fourth victory in five matches, a run in which they have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They have also gone four matches unbeaten across all competitions, with a 3-0 home win over AC Milan among their recent results.

Marcus Tavernier has scored in each of Bournemouth's last three matches, but their scoring record extends beyond one player: the Cherries have found the net in 19 of their last 20 games. They have also led at half-time in each of their last four matches. In their opening Carabao Cup game, Bournemouth won while scoring four goals and conceding none.

Home form gives Bournemouth another reason for confidence. They have won their last three matches at the Vitality Stadium and lost only one of their past 16 there in all competitions. That sequence includes February's 1-1 draw with Villa. Bournemouth have led at half-time in their last three home fixtures, while their past 11 home matches have all featured at least one second-half goal between the two teams.

Aston Villa's Recent Form and Key Stats

Aston Villa responded to a difficult start to the season with an eight-match unbeaten run across all competitions. Their latest result was a 2-1 home win over Manchester City on October 24. Across their last five games, Villa have recorded four wins and one draw, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

The visitors have also won all three of their Champions League matches this season. Their first Carabao Cup outing ended in victory, with three goals scored and one conceded. Those results offer a picture of a side arriving with momentum, although Bournemouth's recent record suggests Villa face an equally confident opponent on Wednesday.

Villa's away form is particularly relevant to this cup tie. They have won five consecutive away matches in all competitions, scoring at least three goals in four of them. They have also been ahead at half-time in each of their last four away games, matching a run of four straight half-time leads across all venues. Maintaining that start against a Bournemouth side with its own strong first-half record could be a key part of the contest.

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Match Analysis

There is little to separate the teams on recent results. Bournemouth have won four of five and have been difficult to beat at home; Villa are unbeaten in eight and have won five straight on the road. Both have also led at half-time in each of their last four matches, so neither side comes into this fourth-round tie short of evidence that it can make an early impact.

The previous meeting offers a reminder that this fixture can remain close: Bournemouth and Villa shared a 1-1 draw at the Vitality Stadium on February 7. Across the five head-to-head matches summarized in the supplied record, Bournemouth have no wins, two draws and three defeats against Villa. That longer record favors the visitors, but Bournemouth's current home run and recent scoring form make the latest meeting difficult to judge on past results alone.

Goals are a prominent feature of both teams' recent form. Bournemouth have scored in 19 of their last 20 matches, while Villa have produced at least three goals in four of their past five away fixtures. The supplied figures put both teams' average goals scored above two per game across their respective last five matches. Bournemouth's home resilience and Villa's away winning streak point in different directions on the result, but each side has clear recent evidence of an attacking threat.

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.