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AFC Bournemouth
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Liverpool
Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 2:38 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 2:38 PM
AFC Bournemouth host Liverpool at the Vitality Stadium on Sunday, September 20, with the Premier League fixture scheduled to begin at 13:00 local time. The home side enter the match in 15th place after collecting three draws and one defeat from four league games, while eighth-placed Liverpool have one victory and three draws. Both teams won in cup competition during the week: Bournemouth defeated Real Sociedad 2-1 away on Thursday, while Liverpool recorded a 3-1 home victory over Tottenham Hotspur on Tuesday. Their unbeaten recent records and identical league scoring averages of 1.5 goals per match set up an intriguing contest between two sides seeking greater consistency in the domestic campaign.
AFC Bournemouth have experienced a frustrating start to their Premier League season. They have taken the lead in each of their four league fixtures but are still searching for their first victory, having registered three draws and one loss. Their season averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, underlining how their inability to protect an advantage has affected their results.
The wider form is much more encouraging. Bournemouth are undefeated across their last five matches, producing two wins and three draws while averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their latest success came away to Real Sociedad, where they established a 2-0 advantage inside 20 minutes before completing a 2-1 victory. They also won their Carabao Cup match against Lincoln City 4-0.
Several longer-term sequences strengthen the home side's case. Bournemouth have avoided defeat in 24 of their last 25 matches across all competitions and in 21 of their previous 22 Premier League games. However, their home league record contains a notable number of stalemates, with eight of their last nine Premier League matches at the Vitality Stadium ending in draws.
Marcus Tavernier has already scored three league goals this season and arrives in good form. By contrast, Evanilson has not yet recorded a goal or an assist. Bournemouth also have unavailable players ahead of the game, with El Junior Kruoupi, Julian Araujo, Tyler Adams and Veljko Milosavljevic all identified as injury absentees.
Liverpool remain unbeaten in the Premier League, but three draws from four matches have restricted their early progress. Their only league victory came away against Ipswich Town. Overall, they have recorded one win and three draws, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 1.0 per Premier League fixture.
The visitors nevertheless travel in strong recent form. Liverpool's last five matches have produced three victories and two draws, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. Their 3-1 Carabao Cup win against Tottenham Hotspur continued that positive sequence, although a heavily changed team was used for the midweek contest.
Virgil van Dijk, Alisson and Wirtz were rested and are expected to return for the trip. Alexander Isak appeared as a late substitute against Tottenham but has gone three Liverpool matches without scoring. Cody Gakpo, meanwhile, supplied an assist in midweek and is expected to start on Sunday.
The match also carries an additional storyline for Andoni Iraola, who was in charge of Bournemouth last season and is now Liverpool's new coach. His current team have collected victories in the Premier League, Carabao Cup and Champions League, but the three league draws show why another domestic win would be particularly valuable.
The available figures point towards a competitive match. Bournemouth's long unbeaten sequences contrast with their repeated home draws, while Liverpool have also shared the points in three of their first four league games. The win probabilities reflect that balance: Bournemouth are rated at 38%, Liverpool at 35% and the draw at 26%.
Goals remain an important part of the analysis. Bournemouth have scored in 14 consecutive matches and Liverpool have found the net in 20 of their last 21 Premier League fixtures. Both teams are averaging 1.5 league goals per game, while the Both Teams To Score probability is 55% and the Over 2.5 goals probability is 51%. The latest head-to-head meeting ended 3-2 on January 24, 2026. Across the supplied five-match head-to-head summary, Bournemouth have one win and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 3.0 conceded.
The opening period could be especially significant. Bournemouth have repeatedly taken the lead this season and have been ahead at the interval in six of their last ten league games. Liverpool, on the other hand, have trailed at half-time in six of their last ten away fixtures. Those trends give the first half a clear statistical focus, even though Bournemouth's recurring second-half goal sequence suggests the game may continue to develop after the break.
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 85% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2