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AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 28-02-2026

AFC Bournemouth

1 - 1

FT

Sunderland

Vitality Stadium
Jarred Gillett
light rain 11.35 °C

Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 2:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 2:02 PM

The Premier League weekend brings an intriguing clash on the south coast as AFC Bournemouth host Sunderland at the Vitality Stadium. The Cherries are currently sitting eighth in the table, while the Black Cats occupy twelfth place after 27 rounds. Both sides come into this fixture with contrasting momentum — Bournemouth are unbeaten in seven league matches, whereas Sunderland have suffered three consecutive defeats. With both teams eager to strengthen their mid-table positions, this encounter promises to be a fascinating battle of form and resilience.


Bournemouth’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bournemouth have been one of the most consistent sides in the Premier League in recent weeks. Their goalless draw against West Ham United last weekend extended their unbeaten streak to seven matches, a run that includes three wins and two draws in their last five outings. During this period, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, underlining their balance between attack and defense.


At home, the Cherries have been particularly strong, collecting 23 points from 13 matches and losing only once at the Vitality Stadium since early December. They have scored two or more goals in three of their last four home league games, showing a clear attacking intent in front of their supporters. Over the course of the season, Bournemouth’s record stands at 9 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.


In terms of individual performances, Marcus Tavernier’s return from injury provides a timely boost, while Brazilian forward Rayan has quickly become a key attacking threat. Bournemouth’s ability to maintain their unbeaten run has been built on a solid defensive structure and a confident approach in possession, making them one of the form teams in the division.


Sunderland’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Sunderland have experienced a dip in form after a promising start to the campaign. Their 3-1 home defeat to Fulham last weekend marked their third consecutive loss, leaving them with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches. During this stretch, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game, reflecting their recent struggles at both ends of the pitch.


On the road, the Black Cats have found life difficult. They have taken only 10 points from 13 away matches and are winless in their last eight away fixtures (3 draws, 5 defeats). Notably, they have lost at half time in their last four away games and under 3.5 total goals have been scored in 20 of their last 21 away matches. This pattern suggests that Sunderland often find themselves chasing games without being able to turn them around.


Despite these challenges, there are positives. Enzo Le Fee continues to be a creative spark, contributing eight goal involvements this season, while the return of captain Granit Xhaka adds leadership and experience in midfield. However, injuries to key players such as Nordi Mukiele and Jocelin Ta Bi could limit their options. Sunderland’s season record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats highlights their inconsistency, but also their potential to compete when in form.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, meetings between Bournemouth and Sunderland have been evenly contested. In their last five encounters, both sides have won twice and drawn once, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per team. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a thrilling 3-2 victory, suggesting that goals could again be on the cards.


Bournemouth’s attacking rhythm at home contrasts sharply with Sunderland’s defensive vulnerabilities away from home. The Cherries have scored at least twice in three of their last four home matches, while Sunderland have conceded three goals in each of their last three away games. This combination points towards a match where the hosts are likely to dominate possession and create more chances, especially in the second half — a period in which goals have been scored in 18 of Sunderland’s last 20 league fixtures.


Given Bournemouth’s current momentum and Sunderland’s travel difficulties, the home side appear well-positioned to extend their unbeaten run. The Cherries’ attacking depth and defensive organization could prove decisive against a Sunderland team still searching for stability on the road.


Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction


All indicators suggest that Bournemouth enter this fixture as favorites. Their strong home record, combined with Sunderland’s poor away form, tilts the balance in favor of the hosts. The Cherries’ ability to score multiple goals and maintain defensive discipline makes them a tough opponent for any side outside the top six.


While Sunderland have shown flashes of quality this season, their recent performances and injury concerns make it difficult to back them for an upset. The visitors will need to tighten up defensively and rely on quick transitions if they are to take anything from this match.


Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 49% probability.

AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland - Predictions

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AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

AFC Bournemouth

Sunderland

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland in Premier League

Who will win ?

AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland be played?
The Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland will be played on February 28, 2026 at 12:30.
Where will AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland be played?
The match between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland will be played at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth - England
Who will referee AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The referee for the match will be Jarred Gillett.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League?
The odds are: AFC Bournemouth to win 1.83, draw 3.70, Sunderland to win 4.33.
What are the betting odds for AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.80 and Under 2.5 at 2.00.
Will both AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland, AFC Bournemouth won 2 times, Sunderland won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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