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AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 07-01-2026

AFC Bournemouth

3 - 2

FT

Tottenham Hotspur

Vitality Stadium
D. England
light rain 3.42 °C

Prediction published on Jan 5, 2026 11:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 5, 2026 11:03 PM

The Premier League midweek action brings an intriguing clash between AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur at the Vitality Stadium. Both sides are desperate to rediscover their winning touch after a series of disappointing results. The hosts currently sit 15th in the table, while the visitors occupy 13th place, separated by just four points after 20 rounds. Their previous meeting earlier this season ended in a 1-0 victory for Bournemouth, extending their unbeaten run in this fixture to three matches. With both teams struggling for consistency, this encounter promises to be a tense and open affair.


AFC Bournemouth’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bournemouth have endured a difficult spell in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last five league matches. Their most recent outing saw them lose 3-2 at home to Arsenal, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over their last five games, the Cherries have averaged 2.0 goals scored but have conceded 2.8 goals per match, underlining the need for greater balance. Despite this, their overall season record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats shows that they remain competitive in most fixtures.


At home, Bournemouth have been involved in high-scoring encounters, with only 2 of their last 10 home matches finishing with under 0.5 total goals. Their attacking line, led by Antoine Semenyo and Junior Kroupi, has been productive, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. The Cherries’ average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season reflects their open style of play. With several key players sidelined through injury, including Tyler Adams and Ryan Christie, Bournemouth will once again rely on their attacking depth to make the difference.


Tottenham Hotspur’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Tottenham Hotspur have also struggled to maintain momentum after a promising start to the campaign. Their latest result, a 1-1 draw against Sunderland, extended their unbeaten run to three matches but also highlighted their ongoing issues in front of goal. Over their last five league games, Spurs have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2 on average. Their season record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal difference that suggests a solid defense but a lack of cutting edge in attack.


Tottenham’s away form has been inconsistent, though they have managed to avoid goalless performances in most of their recent trips, with only 2 of their last 10 away matches ending under 0.5 total goals. Injuries and international absences have hit the squad hard, with several key players unavailable. The absence of Mohammed Kudus, along with long-term injuries to Dejan Kulusevski, James Maddison, and Destiny Udogie, has limited their attacking options. However, the return of Xavi Simons from suspension could provide a much-needed creative spark.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, Bournemouth have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.4. The Cherries’ 1-0 win earlier this season demonstrated their ability to frustrate Tottenham and capitalize on defensive errors. Both teams tend to play on the front foot, which could lead to another open contest with plenty of chances at both ends.


Given Bournemouth’s defensive vulnerabilities and Tottenham’s recent struggles to convert opportunities, the match could hinge on which side manages to impose their rhythm early. Bournemouth’s home advantage and attacking energy may give them a slight edge, but Tottenham’s experience and organization could make this a closely contested battle. With both sides averaging over a goal per game, a high-scoring outcome seems likely.


Statistical Summary



  • Premier League standings: Bournemouth 15th, Tottenham 13th.

  • Last 5 matches: Bournemouth (0W, 3D, 2L), Tottenham (1W, 2D, 2L).

  • Average goals per match: Bournemouth 1.6 scored / 1.9 conceded; Tottenham 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded.

  • Head-to-head record: Bournemouth 2W, 1D, 2L.

  • Win probabilities: Bournemouth 43%, Draw 26%, Tottenham 31%.

  • BTTS (Yes): 52% probability.

  • Over 2.5 goals: 48% probability.


Bournemouth vs Tottenham Prediction and Final Analysis


Both teams enter this fixture under pressure to deliver a positive result. Bournemouth’s attacking intent and home support could make them dangerous, especially against a Tottenham side missing several key players. However, Spurs’ defensive discipline and ability to grind out results away from home cannot be overlooked. The statistics suggest a balanced contest, with both teams likely to find the net.


Considering the recent trends and goal averages, this match has all the ingredients for an entertaining encounter. Bournemouth’s defensive issues and Tottenham’s need to respond offensively point toward a game with multiple scoring opportunities. The Cherries’ unbeaten streak in this fixture adds further intrigue, but the outcome may ultimately depend on which side capitalizes on their chances.


Bournemouth vs Tottenham prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 48% probability.

AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur - Predictions

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AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

AFC Bournemouth

Tottenham Hotspur

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

6

AFC Bournemouth

38

13

18

7

58:54

57

1.5

D
W
W
D
D
17

Tottenham Hotspur

38

10

11

17

48:57

41

1.08

W
W
D
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur be played?
The Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur will be played on January 7, 2026 at 19:30.
Where will AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur be played?
The match between AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur will be played at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth - England
Who will referee AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The referee for the match will be D. England.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League?
The odds are: AFC Bournemouth to win 2.10, draw 3.50, Tottenham Hotspur to win 3.30.
What are the betting odds for AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur, AFC Bournemouth won 2 times, Tottenham Hotspur won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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