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AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | League One 11-03-2026

AFC Wimbledon

4 - 1

FT

Blackpool

Cherry Red Records Stadium
Lee Swabey
moderate rain 8.55 °C

Prediction published on Mar 9, 2026 9:07 PM by Dario in England - League One | Modified on Mar 9, 2026 9:07 PM

The upcoming League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool brings together two sides fighting for very different objectives. The Dons are looking to maintain their recent momentum and keep faint hopes of reaching the playoff zone alive, while the Tangerines are desperate to collect points to move away from the relegation battle. With both teams showing contrasting form in recent weeks, this encounter promises to be a tense and competitive affair.


AFC Wimbledon's Recent Form and Key Stats


AFC Wimbledon currently sit 14th in the League One standings with 46 points from 34 matches. They are eight points adrift of the playoff positions and ten clear of the relegation zone, a comfortable but not entirely safe position. The Dons have shown signs of improvement lately, winning 1-0 against Northampton Town on March 8, following a 2-2 draw at Mansfield and a 3-1 home victory over Bradford. Their only recent setback came in a 4-1 defeat away to Cardiff, but they quickly recovered from that disappointment.


In their last five matches, Wimbledon have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 13 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. At home, they have been particularly solid, with only two of their last ten home fixtures finishing with under 0.5 total goals. This consistency at home has been key to their mid-table stability and could play a decisive role in this fixture.


Wimbledon’s attacking play has been more fluid in recent weeks, and their ability to find the net consistently has given them confidence. The Dons’ supporters will expect another strong performance, especially given their recent run of three consecutive home wins. Their defensive organization, however, remains an area to watch, as they have conceded in most of their recent outings.


Blackpool's Recent Form and Key Stats


Blackpool enter this match in 20th place, with 38 points from 35 games, just two points above the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches. The Tangerines’ most recent result was a 1-1 draw at home against Wigan Athletic on March 7. Before that, they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Lincoln City and drew 2-2 at Bolton. Their last victory came in a narrow 1-0 home win over Mansfield.


Across the season, Blackpool have managed 10 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their defensive record remains a concern, particularly away from home, where they have struggled to keep clean sheets. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 18 away matches, a trend that highlights their tendency to be involved in open, attacking games after the break.


Despite their struggles, Blackpool have shown resilience in certain moments, managing to secure draws in difficult fixtures. However, their away form continues to be a major weakness, and they will need to improve significantly if they are to take anything from this trip to Wimbledon. The Tangerines’ attack has been inconsistent, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, while conceding an average of 2.2 goals.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, the meetings between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool have been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, Wimbledon have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 0.6. The most recent head-to-head, played on October 4, 2025, ended in a 0-2 victory for Blackpool, a result that the Dons will be eager to avenge.


From a tactical perspective, Wimbledon’s recent home form suggests they will look to control possession and press high, taking advantage of Blackpool’s defensive vulnerabilities. The Dons’ ability to score early could be crucial, as Blackpool have often struggled to recover after conceding first. On the other hand, the Tangerines may rely on counterattacks and set pieces, hoping to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts.


Given the statistical trends, goals are likely to come in the second half, especially considering Blackpool’s record of late scoring and conceding. Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in matches with goals at both ends, which could make this an entertaining contest for neutral fans.


BetMines Prediction and Final Analysis


With AFC Wimbledon showing stronger form and a solid home record, they appear to have the upper hand heading into this fixture. Blackpool’s away struggles and defensive instability make them underdogs, although their fighting spirit could still make this a competitive match. The Dons’ recent momentum and attacking rhythm suggest they are well-positioned to secure another valuable three points.


AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 50% probability.

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool - Predictions

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AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

AFC Wimbledon

Blackpool

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool in League One

Who will win ?

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool be played?
The League One match between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool will be played on March 11, 2026 at 19:45.
Where will AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool be played?
The match between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool will be played at Cherry Red Records Stadiumundefined - England
Who will referee AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The referee for the match will be Lee Swabey.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool in the League One?
The odds are: AFC Wimbledon to win 2.30, draw 3.20, Blackpool to win 3.20.
What are the betting odds for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the League One?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.15 and Under 2.5 at 1.66.
Will both AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool score in the League One?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool in the League One?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool, AFC Wimbledon won 2 times, Blackpool won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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