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Prediction published on Aug 26, 2026 7:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 26, 2026 7:03 AM
Ajax welcome Sion for the return leg of their Europa Conference League tie on August 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam. The hosts hold a significant advantage after winning the opening match 4-2 on August 20, but the high-scoring nature of that contest leaves room for another eventful encounter. Ajax enter the game unbeaten across their first seven matches, while Sion must overturn a two-goal deficit to keep their hopes of reaching the main draw alive. Both teams have produced strong attacking numbers, yet clean sheets have been uncommon, creating an intriguing backdrop for this decisive second leg.
Ajax approach the return fixture with their unbeaten sequence intact. Their last five matches have delivered three victories and two draws, with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Across their seven outings referenced before this match, they have found the net 21 times, demonstrating why their attacking output has been central to their positive start.
Their Europa Conference League record is equally convincing. Ajax have collected four wins and one draw from five matches in the competition, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their European home results have included a 3-1 victory over Shelbourne and a 4-1 win against Vojvodina. Those performances, followed by four goals away to Sion, underline the hosts’ ability to create chances and score repeatedly in this tournament.
Defensive control has been less consistent. Ajax have recorded only one clean sheet in their opening seven matches, and the first leg again exposed that vulnerability as Sion scored twice. The hosts nevertheless carry several powerful trends into the contest:
With a two-goal cushion, Ajax do not need to chase the tie recklessly. However, their recent results suggest that their strongest route to controlling games remains their attacking production rather than relying exclusively on defensive resistance. Another goal would make Sion’s task substantially more demanding, while the visitors’ need to attack could provide the hosts with further opportunities.
Sion travel to Amsterdam facing a difficult but clearly defined challenge. Their 4-2 home defeat in the first leg was their first meeting with Ajax and left them needing to win by two clear goals to draw level on aggregate. It was also their first European loss of the season after beginning their campaign in the second qualifying round.
The visitors have still shown encouraging overall form. Their last five matches have produced three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Across nine matches this season, they have registered five victories and only two losses. However, they have won by a margin of at least two goals on just three occasions, illustrating the scale of the task they now face.
In the Europa Conference League, Sion have recorded two wins, two draws and one loss. They are averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their ability to score offers some encouragement: Sion have found the net in each of their last 20 matches. At the same time, only two clean sheets in nine outings indicate that preventing Ajax from adding to their aggregate lead may prove difficult.
Sion cannot afford to remain passive because the aggregate situation requires them to score at least twice without reply merely to restore parity. Their sustained scoring sequence suggests they are capable of troubling Ajax, but their recent defensive average and the four goals conceded in the first leg show the risk attached to committing players forward.
The first meeting supplied six goals, and the broader statistical picture also points toward another open contest. Ajax have scored freely throughout their European campaign, with each of their last six matches in the competition producing more than 3.5 total goals. Sion, meanwhile, have participated in 20 consecutive games containing at least two goals and have scored in every one of those fixtures.
The aggregate score is an important part of the match dynamic. Ajax can approach the evening with a 4-2 lead, whereas Sion must pursue goals from the outset. That necessity could make the visitors dangerous in attack, but it may also leave spaces for a home side averaging 3.4 goals per Europa Conference League match. Ajax’s record of avoiding half-time defeat in 26 of their last 27 matches adds another layer of strength, while Sion’s run of 14 straight games with a first-half goal suggests the tie may become active early.
The available probabilities give Ajax a 53% chance of victory, compared with 23% for the draw and 24% for a Sion win. The goals markets are closely aligned with the recent evidence: over 2.5 goals is rated at 56%, while both teams to score carries a 55% probability. Ajax are priced at 1.38 to win, over 2.5 goals at 1.36, and both teams to score at 1.61.
Ajax’s one clean sheet in seven matches and Sion’s two shutouts in nine show why neither defence can be considered fully secure on the supplied form. The hosts possess the stronger aggregate position and have already demonstrated their attacking superiority in the tie, but Sion’s 20-match scoring streak gives the visitors a credible route to contributing again. With one side comfortable enough to exploit openings and the other forced to take risks, goals at both ends represent the most coherent reading of this Europa Conference League preview.
Ajax vs Sion prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ajax
Sion
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
1
9
1
9
3.5
2
8
3
7
4.5
6
4
5
5