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Prediction published on Aug 21, 2026 4:03 AM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Aug 21, 2026 4:03 AM
Al Ahli welcome Abha to Alinma Stadium on August 22, 2026, for their second match of the Saudi Pro League season. The home side enter the fixture with three points after opening their league campaign with a victory, while newly promoted Abha are still searching for their first point following an opening defeat. Al Ahli are seventh and Abha are 12th at this early stage. The recent home and away records create a clear contrast: Al Ahli have produced a long unbeaten sequence on their own ground, whereas Abha have gone 20 consecutive away matches without a victory.
Al Ahli began their Pro League season by beating Al Diriyah 1-0, giving them a record of one win from one league match, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and no goals conceded. They followed that result by recording a 2-1 victory against Al Anwar on August 17. Those two successes provide positive preparation for their first home league assignment against Abha.
The wider five-match picture has been less consistent, with Al Ahli registering two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across that sequence, they averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. However, their longer-term numbers are far stronger. The hosts have avoided defeat in 29 of their last 31 matches and have not drawn in 26 of their previous 28 Pro League fixtures, indicating that their league games have usually produced a decisive result.
Home form is the most significant feature of the Al Ahli vs Abha preview. Al Ahli are unbeaten in their last 16 home matches across the supplied record and have won each of their previous 13 home games in the Pro League. They have also scored at least once in their last 14 home league fixtures and have netted two or more goals in each of the most recent 13. Every one of those last 14 home league matches has contained more than 1.5 total goals.
The first-half statistics also favour Al Ahli. They have not been behind at the interval in their last 13 Pro League matches and have led at half-time in each of the previous six. At home, they have been ahead at the break in their last five league games and in their last three home matches across the wider record. These sequences suggest that the opening period could be particularly important.
Abha return to the Pro League after winning the second-tier title, having collected 24 victories from 34 matches during that campaign. Their start to the new season has nevertheless been difficult. They lost their opening league game 2-1 at home to Al Hazem and then drew 0-0 with Al-Orobah FC on August 16 before being eliminated on post-match penalties.
The visitors have no wins in their last five matches, recording two draws and three defeats while averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their current Pro League record stands at one defeat from one game, with averages of 1.0 goal for and 2.0 against. Their previous season also ended with three consecutive losses, two of which came away from home.
Abha’s travelling record presents the clearest challenge. They have failed to win any of their last 20 away matches and have suffered defeat in 18 of those 20 fixtures. The league-specific sequence is similarly negative, with no victory in their previous 18 Pro League away games. They have conceded at least once in each of their last 20 matches on the road, including all of their last 18 away league fixtures.
Goals have been a regular feature of those away contests. Abha’s last 17 away matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals, as have their previous 15 away fixtures in the Pro League. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 20 away games and in all of their previous 18 league matches on the road. More broadly, 25 of Abha’s last 27 Pro League fixtures have contained at least two total goals.
The visitors have also struggled before the interval. Abha have trailed at half-time in their last four matches, as well as in 12 of their previous 17 away games. In Pro League away fixtures, they have been behind at the break in 10 of the last 15. That record will be tested by an Al Ahli side carrying a strong sequence of first-half leads.
The available statistics make Al Ahli the stronger side entering this Saudi Pro League fixture. The hosts have a 51% win probability, compared with 25% for the draw and 24% for an Abha victory. Their league start, 13-match home winning run and sustained scoring record on their own ground all support that advantage. By contrast, Abha arrive without a win in 20 away matches and with defeats in 18 of those games.
The head-to-head record is more balanced over the full five-match sample, with Al Ahli posting two wins, one draw and two defeats while averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. However, the latest meeting ended in a 5-1 victory for Al Ahli on May 18, 2024. The article data also records 11 Al Ahli goals across the last two meetings, while Abha scored once during those games.
A goal-focused contest is supported by several trends. Over 2.5 goals carries a 52% probability, while Both Teams To Score is assessed at 54%. Al Ahli have scored at least twice in 13 successive home league fixtures, and Abha’s long away sequences consistently feature more than 1.5 total goals and at least one second-half goal. Even so, the strongest overlap between the two teams’ records appears before the interval.
Al Ahli have led at half-time in six consecutive Pro League games and in their last five home league matches. Abha, meanwhile, have been behind at the break in four straight matches and frequently across their recent away schedule. Alongside those opposing first-half runs, the available prediction data assigns an 83% probability to at least one goal being scored before half-time, making that the most coherent conclusion from the supplied trends.
Al Ahli vs Abha prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 83% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Ahli
Abha
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1