Al Ahli host Al Hazm in the seventh round of the Saudi Arabia Pro League on September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium in Jeddah. Only one place separates the teams in the standings, as Al Ahli occupy ninth position and Al Hazm are 10th. Their recent results have created contrasting moods ahead of the fixture: the hosts suffered a 3-2 defeat against Al-Qadsiah on September 8, while the visitors secured a 1-0 victory over Al Taawoun on the same date. Despite Al Ahli losing three of their last five matches, their exceptional home sequence and dominant record in this fixture make them strong contenders to return to winning ways. Al Hazm arrive with renewed confidence, but overturning the historical and venue-related trends will be a demanding challenge.

Al Ahli Recent Form and Key Statistics

Al Ahli enter this Pro League match looking for a reaction after narrowly losing 3-2 to Al-Qadsiah. They fell three goals behind in that contest before Ivan Toney scored twice during the second half, but the recovery ultimately came too late. That result continued an uneven period in which Al Ahli have collected two wins and three defeats from their last five matches. Across those games, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, illustrating both their ability to create chances and their recent defensive vulnerability.

Their overall league record stands at three wins, no draws and three defeats. Al Ahli have averaged 2.2 goals scored per Pro League match, alongside 1.5 conceded. Their matches have therefore offered a substantial attacking return, although the goals allowed at the other end have prevented them from finding greater consistency. The lack of draws is also notable: 20 of their last 21 league fixtures have produced a winner.

Home form presents a much more convincing picture. Al Ahli are unbeaten across their last 18 home matches and have won each of their previous 15 home league games. They have not drawn any of those 15 Pro League fixtures, turning home advantage into a sustained run of victories. At least two total goals have been recorded in all 15, while Al Ahli themselves have scored at least once and have also registered two or more goals in every match during that league sequence.

The hosts have regularly established control early as well. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their last 11 Pro League matches, while Al Ahli have led at half-time in their previous seven home league fixtures. That pattern also extends to their last five home matches across the available data. In the Pro League overall, they have been ahead at the interval in 12 of their last 16 games, making the opening period an important part of this preview.

Al Hazm Recent Form and Key Statistics

Al Hazm travel to this game after beating Al Taawoun 1-0, a result that should provide encouragement before facing one of the league's strongest current home records. Their latest five-match sequence contains one victory, two draws and two defeats. During that run, the visitors averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, suggesting that their recent fixtures have generally been tighter than those involving Al Ahli.

Across the Pro League season, Al Hazm have recorded two wins, two draws and two losses. Their scoring and defensive averages are identical at 1.0 goal per match. This balanced record leaves them directly behind Al Ahli in 10th place, even though the two teams have approached the campaign differently: Al Hazm have shared the points twice, whereas every league game played by Al Ahli has ended with a winner.

The visitors have also shown that they can find the net with some regularity, failing to score in only two of their last seven competitive matches. Nevertheless, their latest two away fixtures have not produced a victory. Their task becomes harder when the head-to-head record and Al Ahli's long winning sequence at home are considered together. Al Hazm may look to draw confidence from their clean-sheet victory on September 8, but they will need to withstand a home side that has consistently scored multiple goals in league matches at this venue.

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm Match Analysis

The statistical comparison points towards Al Ahli holding the clearer advantage. The hosts have a 77% win probability, compared with 16% for the draw and 7% for an Al Hazm victory. Their recent overall form has been inconsistent, but every one of the defeats highlighted in their latest difficult league sequence came away from home. That distinction is significant given their unbeaten run of 18 home fixtures and 15 consecutive Pro League home wins.

Previous meetings reinforce the same conclusion. Al Ahli are unbeaten in the last nine encounters mentioned in the available match information, while the five-game head-to-head summary gives them four victories, one draw and no defeats. Across that five-match sample, they averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded. The most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 Al Ahli victory on February 5, 2026, and Al Ahli have also won each of the last five home matches they played against Al Hazm.

• Al Ahli have won 15 consecutive home matches in the Pro League.
• They have scored at least two goals in each of those 15 home league fixtures.
• Al Hazm have one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches.
• Al Ahli have won four and drawn one of the five matches in the head-to-head summary.
• The supplied goal probabilities give Over 2.5 goals a 60% chance.

Goals remain a relevant part of the outlook. Al Ahli's season average of 2.2 scored per league match, their sequence of multiple-goal performances at home and the 60% probability attached to over 2.5 goals all indicate the potential for an active contest. However, the head-to-head defensive numbers favoring Al Ahli and the 54% probability for both teams not to score offer a note of caution about how much Al Hazm may contribute.

The visitors' recent win means they should not arrive without belief, and Al Ahli's concession of three goals against Al-Qadsiah shows why the hosts cannot approach the game casually. Even so, the strongest and most consistent evidence concerns Al Ahli's home dominance. Their ability to lead early, avoid draws and score at least twice throughout a long run of home league games makes a home victory the most coherent conclusion.

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm prediction from BetMines: Al Ahli win (1) with 77% probability.