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Prediction published on Mar 4, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Mar 4, 2026 8:01 PM
The Saudi Pro League continues with one of its most anticipated fixtures as Al Ahli host Al Ittihad in a clash that could have major implications for the title race. The home side are currently second in the standings, while their city rivals sit fifth. With both teams coming off recent victories, this encounter promises intensity, pride, and high stakes. Al Ahli will aim to maintain their unbeaten home run, whereas Al Ittihad will look to revive their campaign and close the gap on the top spots.
Al Ahli enter this match in outstanding form, having won each of their last five games across all competitions. Their most recent success came with a 1-0 victory over Al Riyadh on February 26, extending their unbeaten streak to 16 matches. In the Pro League, they have been remarkably consistent, boasting a record of 18 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat. Their attack averages 1.9 goals per game, while their defense remains one of the strongest in the league, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.
At home, Al Ahli have been nearly unstoppable. They have won their last eight league matches in front of their fans and have scored in each of their last 15 home fixtures. In fact, at least one goal has been scored by Al Ahli in 21 of their last 22 league games, underlining their attacking reliability. The team also tends to perform strongly in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 15 home matches. These numbers highlight a side that not only dominates possession but also knows how to finish games effectively.
With such consistency, Al Ahli will be confident of repeating their success from the reverse fixture, where they defeated Al Ittihad 1-0. Their home advantage and attacking rhythm make them strong favorites heading into this encounter.
Al Ittihad approach this match after a narrow 1-0 win over Al Khaleej on February 27, a result that helped them stabilize their form. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 0.8. Their overall season record stands at 12 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
Despite their solid home performances, Al Ittihad’s main weakness has been their away form. They are winless in their last six league trips, losing twice and drawing four times. Moreover, they have struggled against top-tier opposition, failing to beat any of the top three sides this season and collecting just one point from five such encounters. Nevertheless, their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 13 away games. They also tend to stay competitive early on, having avoided defeat at half time in 20 of their last 22 matches.
While Al Ittihad’s title defense appears to be slipping away, they remain a dangerous side capable of challenging any opponent. However, their inability to secure results against the league’s elite could once again prove costly in this derby.
The rivalry between Al Ahli and Al Ittihad always delivers drama, and this edition should be no different. The hosts have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 1-0 victory earlier this season. Their home form, combined with their attacking consistency, gives them a clear edge. Al Ittihad, meanwhile, will need to overcome their away struggles and find a way to break down one of the league’s most disciplined defenses.
Statistically, this match is likely to feature goals. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 65% of their combined fixtures. Additionally, the Both Teams To Score – Yes outcome has been frequent, appearing in 59% of their matches. However, given Al Ahli’s defensive solidity and home dominance, they remain the more reliable side to claim all three points.
Expect a competitive first half, but Al Ahli’s superior form and attacking depth could make the difference after the break. Their ability to maintain pressure and convert chances late in games might once again prove decisive.
Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Ahli
Al Ittihad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2