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Prediction published on Jan 18, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Jan 18, 2026 4:02 PM
The Saudi Pro League continues with an exciting fixture as Al Ahli host Al Khaleej at King Abdullah Sports City for Matchday 17. The home side currently sit third in the standings, while the visitors occupy eighth place. Both teams are enjoying positive spells, but only one can extend their unbeaten run in this highly anticipated clash.
Al Ahli have been one of the standout teams in the Saudi Pro League this season. With 34 points from 15 matches, they are level with second-placed Al Nassr and just three points clear of Al Taawon in fourth. Their consistency has been remarkable, with a record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 defeat so far. The team averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, underlining their balance between attack and defense.
Their latest outing was a narrow but crucial 1-0 away win against Al Kholood on January 17, 2026, marking their fifth consecutive victory. During this run, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. At home, the Royals have been particularly dominant, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions.
Scoring has rarely been an issue for Al Ahli. They have found the net in 38 of their last 40 matches and in 20 of their last 21 home games. Moreover, at least one goal has been scored by the team in each of their last 15 home league fixtures. Their attacking rhythm often improves after the break, with over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in their last 12 league matches and in their last 10 home games.
Al Khaleej have also been in solid form, climbing to eighth place with 24 points from 15 matches. Their season record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, with an impressive average of 2.4 goals scored per game. The visitors come into this encounter unbeaten in their last four matches, having secured three wins and one draw.
In their most recent league fixture, Al Khaleej delivered a commanding 4-1 home victory over Al Akhdoud on January 16, 2026, with Georgios Masouras netting twice. However, their away form remains a concern. The Pearls have managed just one win in their last five away outings, and defensive lapses have been a recurring issue — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 away matches.
Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, Al Khaleej’s matches tend to be entertaining. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 26 of their last 28 league games, and over 0.5 goals in the second half have occurred in 24 of their last 26. Their attacking approach ensures that they remain a threat, but maintaining defensive discipline against a high-scoring side like Al Ahli will be crucial.
Historically, Al Ahli have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings with 3 wins and 2 draws. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on March 7, 2025. On average, Al Ahli have scored 2.2 goals per match against Al Khaleej while conceding just one.
Given their current momentum and home advantage, Al Ahli enter this match as clear favorites. Their attacking consistency, combined with Al Khaleej’s defensive fragility on the road, suggests that the hosts are well-positioned to extend their winning streak. However, with both teams showing strong offensive numbers, goals at both ends cannot be ruled out.
Expect a lively contest with plenty of attacking intent. Al Ahli’s ability to maintain control in key moments could prove decisive, especially considering their excellent home record and the visitors’ tendency to concede away from home.
Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Ahli
Al Khaleej
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2