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Prediction published on May 3, 2026 12:01 AM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on May 3, 2026 12:01 AM
The Saudi Pro League continues with an intriguing clash between Al Ettifaq and Al Najma, two sides heading in opposite directions as the season nears its conclusion. The hosts are still fighting for a top-half finish, while the visitors have already been relegated. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities and a history of high-scoring encounters, this fixture promises plenty of attacking action and goals.
Al Ettifaq enter this match sitting seventh in the standings with 45 points, aiming to close the gap on the top five. Their latest outing ended in a convincing 3-1 away win against Al Okhdoud on April 30, a result that helped them recover from two consecutive defeats. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Throughout the season, Al Ettifaq’s record stands at 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their home form has been relatively solid, and notably, they haven’t lost at half time in 19 of their last 20 home matches in the Pro League. This consistency in the opening 45 minutes often allows them to build momentum and control the tempo early on.
Despite some defensive lapses, the team’s attacking output has been reliable, especially against lower-ranked opponents. Their motivation to secure a top-half finish should keep them focused, and with four games remaining, every point counts. The home crowd will expect a dominant performance against the league’s bottom side.
For Al Najma, the season has been one to forget. Already relegated, they sit at the bottom of the table with only 2 wins, 5 draws, and 23 defeats. Their defensive record is the worst in the league, having conceded 72 goals in 30 matches—an average of 2.4 per game. In their most recent fixture, they fell 3-1 to Al Khaleej on April 28, continuing a poor run of form that has seen them lose four of their last five matches.
During that stretch, Al Najma have averaged 1.4 goals scored but have conceded 2.8 per match. Their away form has been particularly concerning: they haven’t won in their last 15 away matches in the Pro League. Moreover, they have failed to win in 28 of their last 30 league games, underlining the scale of their struggles.
Defensively, the team has been unable to keep opponents at bay, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 matches. Their games tend to be open and high-scoring, with Over 2.5 goals recorded in each of their last 11 league fixtures. Even when they manage to find the net, their backline’s fragility often undermines their efforts.
The previous meeting between these sides earlier this season produced a thrilling 3-4 victory for Al Ettifaq on January 8, highlighting the attacking potential on both sides. In that encounter, seven goals were scored, and both teams found the net multiple times. Historically, this fixture has leaned towards high-scoring outcomes, and given the current form of both teams, another goal-filled contest seems likely.
Al Ettifaq’s attacking rhythm and home advantage make them clear favorites, but their defense remains a concern. Al Najma, despite their relegation, have shown occasional flashes of attacking intent, and they could still trouble the hosts’ backline. However, their inability to maintain defensive discipline often leads to collapses in the second half—something that could again prove decisive here.
Both teams’ recent trends point toward an open game. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in the second half of Al Najma’s last 10 matches, suggesting that late drama could be on the cards once more. With both sides capable of scoring but struggling to defend, spectators can expect an entertaining encounter.
Considering the statistical patterns and recent performances, this match is likely to feature multiple goals. Al Ettifaq’s attacking consistency, combined with Al Najma’s defensive frailties, supports the expectation of a high-scoring affair. The hosts are strong favorites to claim all three points, but the visitors might still contribute to the scoreline.
In their last 11 matches, Over 2.5 goals has been a recurring outcome for Al Najma, and their defensive issues show no sign of improvement. Al Ettifaq’s motivation to climb the table and their ability to capitalize on weaker defenses further strengthen the case for another goal-heavy result. Expect the home side to dominate possession and create numerous chances, while Al Najma may rely on counterattacks to find the net.
Al Ettifaq vs Al Najma prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Ettifaq
Al Najma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
7
3
9
1