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Al Fateh
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Al Ahli
Prediction published on Oct 7, 2026 3:04 PM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Oct 7, 2026 3:04 PM
Al Fateh host Al Ahli in the Saudi Pro League on October 9, 2026, with kick-off set for 14:55 local time at Al Fateh Club Stadium. The teams arrive in contrasting league positions: Al Fateh are 15th and still seeking their first win after seven matches, while sixth-placed Al Ahli have won four of their opening seven. Neither side can rely on recent results for reassurance, however. Al Fateh have gone five matches without a victory, and Al Ahli return from the international break following two winless outings in other competitions. Their previous meetings at Al Fateh offer the hosts encouragement, but the visitors’ scoring record makes this an intriguing match preview.
Al Fateh have taken three points from seven Pro League fixtures, recording three draws and four defeats. Their most recent result was a 4-2 loss to NEOM SC on September 13, a second consecutive defeat before the international break. Across their last five matches, they have drawn three times and lost twice, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4. Those draws show they have managed to stay in contention in several recent fixtures, but a first league victory remains out of reach.
The season-long figures underline Al Fateh’s difficulty in front of goal. They average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per Pro League match. Three of their last 10 league games have finished without a goal by either team, so their attacking output cannot be taken for granted even when the wider match picture suggests chances may arise.
Home meetings with Al Ahli provide a more positive reference point. Al Fateh have won their last three home games against these opponents, although that record sits alongside their current winless start. The five-match head-to-head summary supplied for this fixture is balanced at two Al Fateh wins, one draw and two defeats. It suggests there is reason for the hosts to be competitive, rather than assuming that the gap in league positions will decide the contest.
Al Ahli have made the stronger start in the Pro League, with four wins and three defeats from seven matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league fixture. A 3-1 victory over Al Hazem gave them a league response after a difficult run, but their two outings before the international break brought a draw with Pakhtakor in the Champions League and a 2-1 loss to Mamelodi Sundowns in the FIFA Intercontinental Cup.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Al Ahli have two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their average of 2.4 goals scored in that span points to considerable attacking output, yet they have also conceded 1.4 per game. Away form is a separate concern: they have lost four consecutive road matches across all competitions. That run, combined with Al Fateh’s recent home results in this fixture, gives the visitors a clear reason to approach the trip cautiously.
Al Ahli’s league games have rarely ended level: they have avoided a draw in 21 of their last 22 Pro League matches. Their first-half statistics are particularly striking. There has been at least one goal before half-time in each of their last 12 league games, and they have led at the interval in 13 of their last 17 Pro League fixtures. On the other hand, they have trailed at half-time in each of their last three away league matches. The identity of the early scorer is uncertain, but a scoreless opening half has been absent from their recent league record.
This Saudi Pro League meeting brings together Al Fateh’s need to end a seven-game wait for a win and Al Ahli’s attempt to improve an unconvincing away run. The hosts’ three consecutive home victories over Al Ahli complicate any assessment based solely on the current standings. Al Ahli have scored much more freely in the league, but four straight away defeats across competitions prevent their sixth-place position from telling the whole story.
The supplied goal figures also point in different directions. Al Fateh’s season average of 0.6 scored per league match raises questions about their ability to contribute, while Al Ahli’s average of 2.3 shows why the visitors carry an attacking threat. The most recent head-to-head ended 3-1 on May 6, 2026, but one result does not settle how this game will develop. A more consistent pattern is the presence of a first-half goal in Al Ahli’s last 12 league matches, despite their mixed results away from home.
For Al Fateh, improving on their recent scoring average would strengthen their chances of extending that home record against Al Ahli. For the visitors, the task is to make their stronger league attack count without repeating the setbacks of their recent trips. With Al Ahli’s first-half results showing both frequent goals and contrasting leads and deficits, the opening 45 minutes look especially relevant to how this fixture unfolds.
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 85% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
5
5
3
7
4.5
7
3
6
4