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Al Fateh
0 - 2
FT
Al Nassr
Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 6:04 PM
The upcoming Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al Nassr promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides heading in opposite directions. The hosts are struggling to rediscover their winning touch, while the visitors continue to impress with a dominant run of form. With Al Nassr sitting second in the standings and Al Fateh in mid-table, this fixture could have a significant impact on both ends of the table.
Al Fateh enter this match desperate to end a six-game winless streak in the league. Their recent 1-1 draw against Al-Qadsiah marked a third consecutive stalemate, underlining their inability to turn performances into victories. Over their last five matches, they have recorded no wins, three draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 2.2 per game. This inconsistency has left them 10th in the Pro League standings, with a season record of six wins, six draws, and eight losses.
At home, Al Fateh’s struggles are even more pronounced. They have failed to win any of their last three home fixtures and have been trailing at half time in each of those matches. Despite their attacking efforts, defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Their matches tend to be lively affairs, with over 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last 34 league games, and over 8.5 corners in 13 of those. This suggests a team that creates opportunities but often fails to capitalize on them.
Historically, Al Fateh have found it difficult against Al Nassr, losing seven of their last ten meetings. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a heavy 5-1 defeat, a result that reflected the gulf in quality between the two sides. To stand a chance here, Al Fateh will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to disrupt Al Nassr’s rhythm early on.
Al Nassr arrive in outstanding form, having won each of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent victory came in the Champions League, a 1-0 triumph over Arkadag, following a convincing 2-0 league win against reigning champions Al Ittihad. In the Pro League, they boast an impressive record of 16 wins, one draw, and just three defeats, averaging 2.6 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per match.
The visitors’ consistency is remarkable. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 40 matches, including 30 consecutive league games and 20 straight away fixtures. Their attacking power is complemented by a solid defense that has kept clean sheets in recent outings. Al Nassr have also shown strong starts, winning at half time in 17 of their last 25 matches and avoiding first-half defeats in 31 of their last 32 games overall.
In head-to-head terms, Al Nassr have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and averaging 3.4 goals per game against Al Fateh. Their attacking efficiency and defensive discipline make them one of the most balanced teams in the league. With only one point separating them from the top of the table, they will be eager to maintain pressure on the leaders and extend their winning streak to eight matches.
This match appears to be a classic case of a struggling home side facing a confident title contender. Al Fateh will likely focus on containment and counter-attacks, hoping to exploit any rare defensive lapses from their opponents. However, their recent defensive record suggests that keeping Al Nassr quiet will be a major challenge. The visitors’ relentless attacking approach and ability to control games from the outset could once again prove decisive.
Given the trends, a high-scoring encounter seems likely. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 37 of Al Nassr’s last 40 matches, and both teams have found the net in 64% of their recent fixtures. Al Fateh’s defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Al Nassr’s attacking momentum, point toward another open and entertaining contest. The visitors’ superior form and head-to-head dominance make them clear favorites to claim all three points.
Expect Al Nassr to dictate the tempo early, using their attacking depth to stretch the home defense. If Al Fateh can withstand the initial pressure and make the most of set pieces, they might keep the game competitive for a while. However, the balance of probabilities strongly favors the visitors extending their winning run.
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr prediction by BetMines:
Al Nassr win (2) with a 71% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Fateh
Al Nassr
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3