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Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 6:02 AM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 6:02 AM
Al Hilal host Al Ittihad at Kingdom Arena on October 10, 2026, in a Pro League meeting between the teams occupying first and second place. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time. Just one point separates the sides after seven league matches: Al Hilal have 18 points, while Al Ittihad have 17 and remain unbeaten in the competition. Both arrive with strong results behind them, making this a significant early test for the leaders and their closest challengers.
Al Hilal have won six of their seven Pro League fixtures, losing the other. Their league matches have brought averages of 3.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. A 6-0 away victory over Al Taawoun in their most recent league outing underlined their scoring strength, and they followed it with a 2-1 home win against Al Gharafa on September 15. Across their last five matches, they have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring 2.6 goals and conceding 0.6 per game on average.
The broader run is impressive, too: Al Hilal have avoided defeat in 39 of their last 40 matches across competitions and in 33 of their last 34 Pro League games. They have scored at least once in 23 of their last 24 matches, including 21 of their last 22 in the league. At home, they have gone unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 fixtures. Those figures give the leaders a substantial record to defend against the league's only remaining unbeaten side.
Al Hilal's first halves are particularly relevant to this match preview. There has been at least one goal before the break in each of their last 13 home matches and each of their last 10 home Pro League matches. They have also led at half-time in nine of their last 10 home league games. The goal figures refer to the total scored by both teams in those matches, not necessarily to Al Hilal scoring themselves.
Al Ittihad travel to Kingdom Arena with five wins and two draws from their opening seven Pro League games. Their season averages stand at 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per league match. They are one point behind Al Hilal, so this fixture gives them a direct opportunity to challenge the leaders while protecting their unbeaten league start.
The visitors' last five matches have produced three wins and two draws, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their latest listed result was a 1-1 draw against Al Shamal SC on September 14, which ended a three-match winning run but extended their overall unbeaten sequence to 11 games. Al Ittihad have therefore continued collecting results even when that run of victories has paused.
They have also been difficult to put behind early in matches. Al Ittihad have avoided a half-time deficit in 29 of their last 32 Pro League fixtures and in 35 of their last 39 matches overall. They have led at the interval in seven of their last 11 league games and six of their last 10 away matches. That record sets up an intriguing contrast with Al Hilal's frequent early leads at home.
The leaders bring the stronger league scoring average, while the visitors bring an unbeaten league record. Al Hilal's home results and recent goals provide a clear challenge for Al Ittihad, but the away side's five wins and two draws show why only one point separates them. The last meeting finished 1-1 on February 21, 2026. Across the five head-to-head matches covered by the supplied figures, Al Hilal have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
The timing of the first goal is one of the clearest statistical themes. A first-half goal has featured in 22 of Al Hilal's last 24 matches and 31 of their last 34 Pro League fixtures, as well as in their last 13 home games. Both sides have often reached half-time without trailing, yet both have also recorded frequent half-time leads. That combination does not settle who will take control, but it does give the opening 45 minutes particular importance in this first-versus-second meeting.
Al Hilal's ability to score regularly and Al Ittihad's resilience make the result less straightforward than the one-point gap alone might suggest. For this Pro League clash, the repeated first-half goal pattern in Al Hilal's matches offers the most direct statistical basis for the final selection, without requiring either team's unbeaten or scoring run to continue in a particular way.
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 88% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2