Matchday 16 of the Saudi Pro League brings an intriguing clash between two sides with very different ambitions. Al-Kholood will be desperate to halt their poor run of form when they host high-flying Al-Ahli at the Al-Hazem Club Stadium. The home team sit in 13th place, just above the relegation zone, while the visitors are pushing for the top spots in fourth place. With both teams having plenty at stake, this encounter promises intensity and goals.

Al-Kholood’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Al-Kholood are enduring a difficult campaign in the Saudi Pro League. After 14 matches, they have collected only 12 points, leaving them dangerously close to the relegation line. Their recent form has been worrying, with four defeats in their last five league outings and just one victory during that stretch. The latest setback came in a 1-0 away loss to Al-Okhdood on January 13, a result that extended their losing streak to two games.

At home, the situation is equally concerning. The Pride of Ar Rass have lost five of their last seven matches at the Al-Hazem Club Stadium, including three consecutive defeats. Their defensive record has been a major issue, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game this season. Despite scoring 1.4 goals on average, their inability to keep clean sheets has cost them valuable points. Interestingly, Al-Kholood have not drawn any of their last 39 league matches, showing a tendency for decisive outcomes, whether positive or negative.

• Season record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 10 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.9 per match.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 21 matches.


• Lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 league games.

These numbers underline a team that struggles to control matches, often falling behind early and chasing the game. Against a strong opponent like Al-Ahli, they will need to tighten up defensively and take their chances efficiently to have any hope of an upset.

Al-Ahli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Al-Ahli arrive in excellent form and full of confidence. They currently occupy fourth place in the standings, level on points with the top two sides but behind on goal difference. Their recent performances have been impressive, with four wins in their last five league matches. The most recent victory came on January 14, when they defeated Al-Taawoun 2-1 after coming from behind, with the winning goal arriving deep into stoppage time.

Underlining their consistency, Al-Ahli have scored in each of their last 12 league matches and in 38 of their last 40 overall. Their attack averages 1.5 goals per game this season, while their defense has been solid, conceding just 0.8 per match. Away from home, they have shown resilience, often taking control early — winning at half time in 10 of their last 16 away fixtures. Their ability to maintain composure and find goals in crucial moments makes them one of the most balanced teams in the competition.

• Season record: 9 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat.


• Average goals scored: 1.5 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 0.8 per match.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 11 matches.


• At least one goal scored in 38 of their last 40 matches.

With a strong attack and a disciplined defense, Al-Ahli will look to exploit Al-Kholood’s defensive weaknesses. Their recent head-to-head record also favors them, having won three of the last four meetings, including a 4-1 victory in May 2025.

Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli Analysis and Prediction

This fixture pits a struggling home side against one of the league’s most consistent performers. Al-Kholood’s defensive fragility and poor home record make them vulnerable, especially against a team that thrives on attacking momentum like Al-Ahli. The visitors’ ability to score in virtually every match, combined with the hosts’ tendency to concede multiple goals, suggests that this could be another high-scoring encounter.

Historically, matches between these two sides have produced goals, with their last meeting ending 4-1 in favor of Al-Ahli. Given the current form and statistical trends, another open contest seems likely. Al-Kholood’s lack of draws and their frequent second-half goals further point toward a dynamic game where both teams could find the net, but the visitors are expected to dominate proceedings.

In summary, Al-Ahli enter this match as clear favorites, boasting a 73% win probability compared to just 11% for Al-Kholood and 16% for a draw. The home side’s fight for survival will depend on whether they can withstand the attacking pressure and capitalize on any rare opportunities that come their way.

Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 50% probability.