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Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Pro League 29-04-2026

Al Nassr

2 - 0

FT

Al Ahli

Al-Awwal Park
Erik Lambrechts
few clouds 24.26 °C

Prediction published on Apr 28, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Apr 28, 2026 1:03 AM

The Saudi Pro League title race intensifies as Al Nassr host Al Ahli in a top-of-the-table clash that could shape the destiny of the championship. The league leaders are chasing their first title since 2019 and come into this fixture with momentum on their side, while the visitors remain determined to keep their hopes alive. Both sides boast the strongest defenses in the competition, promising a high-quality encounter filled with tactical discipline and attacking flair.


Al Nassr’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Al Nassr approach this match in exceptional form, having recorded 19 consecutive victories across all competitions. Their dominance has been built on consistency and attacking power, with an average of 2.7 goals scored per game in the league while conceding just 0.7. The team’s recent 5-1 triumph over Al Ahli Doha in the AFC Cup semifinals further underlines their confidence and scoring ability.


In the Pro League, Al Nassr’s record stands at 25 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats. They have not drawn a match in their last 22 outings and remain unbeaten in 19 consecutive fixtures. Their home form is particularly impressive, with nine straight home wins and goals scored in each of their last 19 home matches. The team has also led at halftime in their last six matches, showing their ability to start games strongly and maintain control.



  • Al Nassr have scored in their last 40 matches in all competitions.

  • They have not lost at halftime in 38 of their last 40 matches.

  • Average goals in last five matches: 3.4 scored, 0.6 conceded.

  • Head-to-head record vs Al Ahli: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.


With their attacking rhythm and defensive stability, Al Nassr will look to avenge their 3-2 defeat from the reverse fixture earlier in the season. Playing at home, they will aim to extend their winning streak and strengthen their grip on the top spot.


Al Ahli’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Al Ahli arrive as the reigning AFC Champions League winners, having recently defeated Machida 1-0 after extra time. Despite the physical toll of that final, they remain one of the most consistent teams in the league. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and only 2 defeats this season, Al Ahli have shown remarkable balance between attack and defense.


Defensively, they have been the best side in the competition, conceding only 20 goals in 28 matches. Their ability to stay compact and disciplined has been key to their success. However, they are winless in their last two away league games, a statistic they will be eager to change in this crucial fixture.



  • Al Ahli have avoided defeat in 26 of their last 28 league matches.

  • They have scored in 25 of their last 26 league games.

  • Average goals in last five matches: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded.

  • They have not lost at halftime in their last 14 away matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 20 of their last 22 league matches.


With a game in hand and a 10-point gap to close, Al Ahli’s challenge is steep but not impossible. Their resilience and defensive organization could make this a tight contest, though fatigue from continental competition might influence their performance.


Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Tactical Overview and Prediction


This encounter brings together two sides that have dominated the Saudi Pro League with their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. Al Nassr’s relentless scoring form contrasts with Al Ahli’s structured defensive approach, setting the stage for a fascinating tactical battle. Historically, meetings between these teams have produced goals — the last five head-to-heads averaged nearly four goals per game.


Both teams have conceded fewer than a goal per match this season, yet their direct clashes tend to defy those defensive numbers. Al Nassr’s attacking momentum and home advantage could tilt the balance, but Al Ahli’s counterattacking threat ensures that both sides are likely to find the net.


Given the offensive quality on display and the statistical trends, this match promises excitement and goals from both ends of the pitch.


Al Nassr vs Al Ahli prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.

Al Nassr vs Al Ahli - Predictions

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Al Nassr vs Al Ahli: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Al Nassr

Al Ahli

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Al Nassr and Al Ahli in Pro League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Al Nassr

34

28

2

4

91:28

86

2.53

W
L
W
D
W
3

Al Ahli

34

25

6

3

71:25

81

2.38

W
W
W
W
W
AFC Champions League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Al Nassr vs Al Ahli: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Al Nassr vs Al Ahli be played?
The Pro League match between Al Nassr and Al Ahli will be played on April 29, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Al Nassr vs Al Ahli be played?
The match between Al Nassr and Al Ahli will be played at Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh - Saudi Arabia
Who will referee Al Nassr vs Al Ahli?
The referee for the match will be Erik Lambrechts.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli in the Pro League?
The odds are: Al Nassr to win 1.61, draw 3.80, Al Ahli to win 4.20.
What are the betting odds for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Pro League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.40.
Will both Al Nassr and Al Ahli score in the Pro League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.57, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.25.
What is the most likely correct score for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli in the Pro League?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Al Nassr and Al Ahli?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Al Nassr and Al Ahli, Al Nassr won 3 times, Al Ahli won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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