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Al Nassr
3 - 0
FT
Al Diraiyah FC
Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 12:32 AM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 12:32 AM
Al Nassr host Al Diraiyah FC at Al-Awwal Park in Riyadh on October 9, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The Pro League fixture brings together the third-placed hosts and the eighth-placed visitors, who have 11 points and sit five behind Al Nassr. Both sides return from the international break with contrasting concerns: Al Nassr are looking to recover from a difficult spell, while newly promoted Al Diraiyah FC aim to extend a two-match unbeaten run. Their earlier meeting this season ended in a 4-1 cup victory for Al Nassr, but the hosts’ recent defensive record gives the visitors reason to believe they can make this rematch competitive.
Al Nassr have won five, drawn one and lost one of their seven Pro League matches, scoring an average of 2.3 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their broader recent form has been less convincing: across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. A 2-1 loss to Al Ittihad ended their unbeaten start to the season, and they won only once in the following three games. The last of those fixtures was a 4-0 defeat to Al Ain in the Champions League Elite on September 15.
The clearest strength in Al Nassr’s numbers is their consistency in front of goal. They have scored at least once in their last 32 Pro League matches and in each of their last 15 home league games. At least two total goals have been scored in their last 12 Pro League fixtures. At the other end, however, the hosts have gone six matches without a clean sheet and have kept only two in nine games this season. That contrast between regular scoring and recent concessions could be central to this Al Nassr vs Al Diraiyah FC preview.
Al Nassr’s home league record also points to strong starts: they have not trailed at half-time in their last 15 home Pro League matches and have led at the interval in seven of the last ten. Their matches have featured at least one first-half goal in each of the last 13 games across competitions, including the last 11 in the league. The hosts have avoided defeat in 25 of their last 27 Pro League fixtures, although their latest results show why they cannot rely on that longer-term record alone.
Al Diraiyah FC arrive after a 0-0 draw with Abha on September 13, which followed a 2-1 away win against Al Fateh. They have lost only once in their last six matches, collecting three wins in that span. Their most recent five games have brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. For a newly promoted side facing the team in third place, that run provides a firmer foundation than their league position alone might suggest.
In the Pro League, the visitors have won three, drawn two and lost two of their seven matches. They average 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded per game. The draw with Abha was their first clean sheet in three outings and their third in eight games. Their scoring record has been less steady, as they have also failed to find the net in three of those eight fixtures. Whether they can turn Al Nassr’s recent concessions into a goal of their own is therefore a key question.
Al Diraiyah FC have led at half-time in each of their last three away Pro League matches. They have also faced four sides currently in the league’s top seven across league and cup games without a win. One of those encounters was this season’s cup meeting with Al Nassr: Al Diraiyah FC scored first but ultimately lost 4-1 at home. The visitors now get another opportunity to test themselves against the same opponent, this time away from home.
The matchup sets Al Nassr’s sustained league scoring streak against an Al Diraiyah FC side that has generally conceded fewer than one goal per game in the competition. The hosts have won both recorded head-to-head meetings, and their Pro League record gives them a clear case for another positive result. Still, the immediate picture is more complicated than those figures suggest. Al Nassr have conceded regularly in recent matches, while Al Diraiyah FC scored in the cup meeting and found the net twice at Al Fateh before the break.
There are also signs that the opening stages could matter. Al Nassr’s recent matches have repeatedly produced a first-half goal, and neither their home league record nor Al Diraiyah FC’s recent away league record suggests a habit of falling behind early. Those trends do not settle the outcome, but they help explain why a quick response to any opening goal could shape the game. Al Nassr’s attack has been reliable over a long league stretch; Al Diraiyah FC’s task is to repeat the scoring contribution they managed in the cup while doing considerably more to contain the hosts.
Overall, Al Nassr bring the stronger league position, a five-point advantage and a previous victory over these opponents. Al Diraiyah FC, though, have lost just once in six games, and the hosts’ six-match run without a clean sheet leaves room for the visitors to contribute on the scoresheet. That combination makes goals at both ends a coherent conclusion to the available form and head-to-head evidence.
Al Nassr vs Al Diraiyah FC prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
2
8
7
3
3.5
6
4
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0