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Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 6:03 AM by Dario in Saudi Arabia - Pro League | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 6:03 AM
Al Nassr host Al Taawoun in the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Friday, August 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Al-Awwal Park in Riyadh. The teams enter the fixture after contrasting starts: Al Nassr are first in the league after winning all three matches, while 12th-placed Al Taawoun have collected two points from a possible nine. The hosts are pursuing a fourth consecutive league victory, whereas the visitors remain without a Pro League win this season. Recent scoring trends, first-half records and head-to-head results all add weight to Al Nassr's position before this encounter.
Al Nassr have opened their Pro League campaign with three wins from three, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Their latest victory was particularly eventful. Goalkeeper Bento was sent off in the 12th minute against Al Ettifaq, after which Al Nassr went 2-0 behind. Despite playing with ten men, they scored three times in the second half to complete a 3-2 comeback on August 25.
That result represented their third straight league success of the season and fourth victory overall. Across their latest five matches, Al Nassr have registered four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.8 goals while allowing 1.0 per game. Before conceding three against Al Ettifaq, they had not allowed a goal in their opening league fixtures, giving their early campaign a combination of attacking output and defensive stability.
The longer-term Pro League numbers also underline the hosts' consistency. Al Nassr have scored at least once in each of their last 32 league matches and have found the net in 39 of their previous 40 fixtures across all competitions. At home, they have scored in each of their last 15 Pro League games and in 19 of their most recent 20 matches overall.
Their results have been similarly convincing. Al Nassr have won 21 of their last 23 Pro League fixtures and avoided defeat in 22 of the last 23. They have also gone without a draw in 25 of their previous 26 league games, while 19 of their last 20 home matches have produced a decisive result. These sequences suggest a team accustomed to turning matches into victories rather than settling for a point.
First-half performance is another important feature of their record. Al Nassr have not been behind at the interval in their last 15 home league games and have led at half-time in each of the most recent three. They have also been ahead at the break in nine of their previous 12 Pro League fixtures, while at least one first-half goal has been recorded in 20 of their last 22 matches.
Al Taawoun travel to this match still seeking their first league victory of the season. Their three Pro League outings have delivered two draws and one defeat, with averages of 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. They were held to a 0-0 draw by Al-Fayha on August 25, a result that left them with two points from the opening nine available.
The visitors have failed to score in two of their three league matches this season. Their draw with Al-Fayha extended their winless Pro League sequence to six games, and three fixtures during that run ended without an Al Taawoun goal. Their only victory of the season came outside the league, when they defeated Damac 3-0 in the King's Cup.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Al Taawoun have recorded one win, three draws and one defeat. During that period they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, but their Pro League attacking average remains notably lower. That difference highlights the challenge of transferring their cup scoring performance into league competition.
The away statistics present another concern. Al Taawoun have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 away Pro League matches. Meanwhile, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their previous 20 away league games and in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures overall. With Al Nassr having just produced a three-goal second-half comeback, the period after the interval could again be significant.
The available figures establish a clear contrast. Al Nassr have a perfect league record, average 3.3 goals per match in the competition and have scored in 32 consecutive Pro League fixtures. Al Taawoun, by comparison, are winless after three league games and have already failed to find the net twice. The supplied win probabilities give Al Nassr a 64% chance of victory, compared with 20% for a draw and 16% for an Al Taawoun win.
Recent meetings strengthen the hosts' case. Al Taawoun are winless in the last four encounters between the teams and lost the latest two without scoring. The most recent head-to-head match ended 1-0 to Al Nassr on January 26, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Al Nassr have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded.
The goal markets nevertheless indicate the possibility of an open contest. Over 2.5 goals carries a 61% probability, while Both Teams To Score is assessed at 54%. Al Nassr's recent 3-2 comeback and season scoring average support the potential for several goals, although Al Taawoun's two league blanks and their recent head-to-head scoring difficulties create uncertainty over how much they will contribute.
A goal before the interval is particularly well supported by the statistical record. Al Nassr have seen at least one first-half goal in 20 of their last 22 matches, have won at half-time in nine of their previous 12 league games and have led at the break in their last three home Pro League fixtures. Corner numbers are also notable, with more than 7.5 corners recorded in 23 of Al Nassr's last 24 league matches and in 27 of their previous 29 games overall.
Overall, the hosts combine stronger league form, much higher scoring figures and a favorable recent record in this matchup. Al Taawoun's draw-heavy sequence may allow them to remain competitive, but their lack of a league victory and repeated failure to score leave them facing a demanding assignment. Al Nassr's ability to recover from a two-goal deficit with ten players in their latest outing provides further evidence of their current momentum.
Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun prediction from BetMines: Al Nassr win (1) with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Al Nassr
Al Taawoun
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2