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Alajuelense
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Deportivo Saprissa
Prediction published on Apr 18, 2026 7:01 AM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Apr 18, 2026 7:01 AM
The clash between Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the Liga Promerica’s 16th round. Scheduled for Sunday, this encounter brings together two of the most successful clubs in Costa Rican football, both eager to secure three crucial points. The home side come into this match after a vital 0-2 away victory over Sporting San José, a result that keeps them in fifth place with 22 points — just four shy of the last qualification spot for the next stage. With only three rounds remaining in the regular phase, every point now carries enormous weight. Meanwhile, the visitors sit second with 27 points and are close to sealing their progression, though the tight standings mean they cannot afford to relax against such a formidable opponent.
Alajuelense approach this match in solid form, having recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings. During that stretch, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.6. Their recent 0-2 triumph over Sporting San José highlighted their efficiency in front of goal and defensive discipline. Over the course of the season, they have accumulated 20 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match in the Primera Division.
At home, the Rojinegros have shown consistency, particularly in the first halves of their matches — they have won at half time in their last three home games and have avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. Their matches tend to be lively, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 11 league games, while staying under 3.5 goals in the last ten. Corners are also a recurring feature at their stadium, with over 7.5 corners taken in 25 of their last 26 home matches and over 8.5 corners in 24 of those. These numbers underline a dynamic playing style that often keeps both ends of the pitch busy.
Deportivo Saprissa suffered a 1-2 defeat against Municipal Liberia in their most recent outing, but their overall form remains strong. In their last five matches, they have registered three wins and two losses, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at 20 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
The Morados are known for their attacking consistency, especially in the latter stages of games. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 36 of their last 40 league matches, and this trend continues away from home, where the same has occurred in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. Their matches also tend to produce plenty of corner kicks, with over 7.5 corners taken in 26 of their last 28 league games. Despite the recent setback, Saprissa remain a dangerous side capable of turning matches around with their offensive power.
When it comes to direct encounters, Alajuelense have had the upper hand recently, winning three of the last five meetings, drawing one, and losing just once. The most recent clash ended 2-1 in their favor on February 22, 2026. Across those matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, suggesting a slight edge in both attack and defense.
This upcoming fixture is expected to be a tight and competitive battle. Alajuelense will rely on their strong home record and defensive solidity, while Deportivo Saprissa will look to exploit their attacking rhythm and second-half strength. Given the stakes — with both teams fighting for crucial points near the top of the table — intensity and determination are guaranteed. The hosts’ need for victory to stay in contention for the next round could push them to take more risks, potentially opening up spaces for Saprissa’s counterattacks.
All signs point to a balanced and entertaining encounter between two sides that rarely disappoint when facing each other. Alajuelense’s home advantage and recent momentum could play a decisive role, while Deportivo Saprissa’s attacking consistency ensures they remain a constant threat. The combination of both teams’ offensive tendencies and recent goal-scoring patterns suggests that spectators could witness an open game with chances at both ends.
BetMines prediction: Over 2.5 goals with a 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alajuelense
Deportivo Saprissa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2