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Alajuelense
1 - 1
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Guadalupe
Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 1:04 AM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 1:04 AM
The upcoming clash between Alajuelense and Guadalupe in the Liga Promerica promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides experiencing very different seasons. The hosts remain among the top teams in the standings, currently sitting fourth, while the visitors are struggling at the bottom of the table. Despite a recent setback in their last outing, Alajuelense enter this match as clear favorites and will be eager to return to winning ways in front of their supporters.
Alajuelense come into this fixture after a 2-1 defeat against Herediano on March 22, 2026. That result ended a positive run, but overall, their recent form remains solid with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. The team has averaged 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 19 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, confirming their consistency in the Primera Division.
At home, Alajuelense have been particularly strong, rarely losing at half time in their last 20 home matches. Their matches tend to be lively in terms of corners, with over 8.5 corners recorded in 23 of their last 24 league games and over 7.5 corners in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures. These statistics highlight their attacking intent and the frequency with which they push forward, forcing opponents to defend deep.
Currently ranked 4th in the league, the Rojinegros will look to capitalize on their home advantage to secure three points and strengthen their position in the top four. A convincing victory would also help them regain momentum after the recent loss and maintain their pursuit of the leading teams.
Guadalupe arrive at this match in a difficult situation, sitting at the bottom of the table with only 10 points collected so far. However, there have been small signs of improvement lately, as they are unbeaten in their last two fixtures, including a goalless draw (0-0) against Sporting San José on March 21, 2026. This result may provide a slight boost in confidence ahead of their challenging trip to face one of the league’s strongest sides.
In their last five matches, Guadalupe have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their season-long record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses reflects their struggles both offensively and defensively. Away from home, they have also found it difficult to impose themselves, although their matches tend to produce a fair number of corners, with over 7.5 corners in each of their last 15 away games.
Guadalupe’s main challenge remains their lack of attacking efficiency, as shown by the fact that under 0.5 goals have been scored in two of their last ten league matches. To get a positive result here, they will need to show greater creativity and resilience, especially against a team that rarely concedes at home.
The recent history between these two sides favors Alajuelense, who have won three of their last five meetings, drawing one and losing one. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-3 away victory for Alajuelense on January 28, 2026. Across these matches, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, underlining their superiority in direct confrontations.
From a tactical perspective, Alajuelense are expected to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities, especially through their dynamic attacking play and strong home record. Guadalupe, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and hoping to exploit counterattacks. Given the contrasting forms and statistics, the home side’s offensive power could prove decisive once again.
This fixture presents a clear contrast between a team fighting for the top positions and another battling to avoid finishing last. Alajuelense have shown consistency throughout the season, while Guadalupe have struggled to find stability. The hosts’ ability to control games, combined with their strong defensive record, makes them heavy favorites to secure a comfortable win. For Guadalupe, the key will be to stay compact and avoid early mistakes that could open the floodgates.
Considering the statistical trends, this match could also see a high number of corners, as both teams tend to generate set-piece situations. However, the difference in attacking efficiency suggests that Alajuelense are far more likely to capitalize on their chances.
Alajuelense vs Guadalupe prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alajuelense
Guadalupe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1