The second leg of the Liga Promerica semifinals between Alajuelense and Municipal Liberia promises to be a decisive encounter in the Costa Rican top flight. After a 1-1 draw in the first leg, the Rojinegros return home with everything in their favor to secure a place in the final. Their consistency throughout the season and their strong record against Liberia make them clear favorites to advance. The visitors, meanwhile, will need to deliver a near-perfect performance to overturn the odds and keep their title hopes alive.

Alajuelense’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alajuelense have been the standout team in the Primera Division this season, finishing the regular stage at the top of the table. Their campaign has been defined by remarkable consistency and defensive solidity. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.2. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 12 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match.

The Rojinegros have proven extremely difficult to beat, remaining unbeaten in 37 of their last 40 league fixtures. Even at half time, they have shown great control, avoiding defeat in 36 of those 40 matches. Their home form has been particularly strong, with only 6 of their last 18 home games featuring fewer than 0.5 total goals, underlining their ability to dominate on their own turf. With such numbers, it’s no surprise that Alajuelense enter this second leg as the overwhelming favorites to progress.

• Ranking: 1st in Primera Division


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats


• Average goals: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded


• Unbeaten streak: 37 of last 40 matches


• Head-to-head vs Liberia: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses

Municipal Liberia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Municipal Liberia arrive at this crucial match knowing they face a monumental challenge. Their 1-1 draw at home in the first leg was a missed opportunity to take the lead in the tie, and now they must travel to face the league leaders on their own ground. Liberia’s recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two defeats. During that run, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, showing vulnerabilities at both ends of the pitch.

Across the season, Liberia’s record stands at 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their attacking output has been modest, and their defense has struggled to maintain clean sheets. Only two of their last ten league matches have ended with fewer than 0.5 total goals, suggesting that while they can find the net, they also tend to leave spaces at the back. Facing a team as efficient as Alajuelense, they will need to be far more disciplined and clinical if they are to stand any chance of an upset.

• Ranking: 2nd in Primera Division


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.2 conceded


• Last head-to-head: 1-1 draw on December 11, 2025

Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia Analysis and Prediction

The semifinal clash between Alajuelense and Municipal Liberia is set to be a test of consistency versus ambition. The home side have dominated this fixture historically, winning four of the last five meetings and averaging 2.4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6. Their defensive organization and attacking efficiency make them a formidable opponent, especially in knockout scenarios. Liberia, on the other hand, will need to find a way to break through a defense that has conceded only twice in the last five matches.

Given the current form and the statistical trends, Alajuelense’s unbeaten streak and superior goal difference suggest that they are well-positioned to control the tempo and dictate the outcome. Liberia’s recent struggles in front of goal could further tilt the balance in favor of the Rojinegros. The visitors’ best hope may lie in keeping the game tight and capitalizing on set pieces or counterattacks, but the hosts’ consistency and home advantage make them the logical pick to advance to the final.

Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 64% probability.