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Alajuelense
12:00 AM
October 26, 2026
Pérez Zeledón
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 11:32 PM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 11:32 PM
Alajuelense host Pérez Zeledón in Costa Rica’s Primera Division on October 26, 2026, with the home side trying to protect their place in the top four. Alajuelense enter the match fourth, while Pérez Zeledón are 10th. Their recent results point in different directions, but the hosts also have a Central American Cup semifinal second leg to play in midweek. That fixture adds a scheduling consideration to a league match Alajuelense cannot afford to overlook. Pérez Zeledón, meanwhile, arrive seeking a response to a heavy defeat and encouragement from their two most recent away outings.
Alajuelense are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across that run, although their latest result was a 0-0 draw with Motagua on October 23. In the Primera Division this season, their record stands at five wins, four draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
The hosts have a notably consistent record for goals in their league fixtures: 25 of their last 26 Primera Division matches have featured over 1.5 total goals. That statistic refers to goals scored by both teams combined, rather than goals by Alajuelense alone. There has also been at least one first-half goal in 22 of their last 24 league matches and at least one second-half goal in 18 of their last 20. Their latest goalless draw is a reminder, however, that a strong longer-term trend does not guarantee another early goal.
At home, Alajuelense have avoided trailing at half-time in 18 of their last 20 Primera Division matches. That record gives them a solid platform as they return to Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. The upcoming Central American Cup semifinal second leg may influence how they approach the week, but their fourth-place league position makes this fixture important in its own right.
Pérez Zeledón have had a more difficult run. They are without a win in their last five matches, drawing once and losing four times, while averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Their most recent game ended in a 3-0 defeat to Herediano on October 18. Across 12 Primera Division matches this season, they have two wins, three draws and seven losses, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
Those figures underline the challenge of facing a fourth-placed opponent away from home. Still, Pérez Zeledón have taken positive results from their two most recent away matches, according to the match context, and one away pattern may help them remain competitive early on: seven of their last eight Primera Division away games have been level at half-time. That does not erase their recent defensive difficulties, but it suggests they have often kept away fixtures close through the opening half.
The sides’ most recent meeting finished 1-1 on August 30. In the supplied head-to-head summary, Alajuelense have two wins, two draws and one defeat against Pérez Zeledón, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Pérez Zeledón can therefore look to the latest draw as evidence that this matchup has not always followed the teams’ current league positions.
Alajuelense bring the stronger league standing and recent form into this Primera Division preview. They have not lost in five matches, while Pérez Zeledón have lost four of their last five. The difference in their season scoring averages—1.7 goals per match for the hosts against 0.8 for the visitors—also helps explain why Alajuelense are favored. The supplied win probabilities put the home side at 65%, compared with 21% for a draw and 14% for Pérez Zeledón.
There are reasons not to treat the result as settled. Alajuelense have just played out a 0-0 draw, have a cup semifinal second leg ahead, and shared the points with Pérez Zeledón in their last meeting. The visitors’ sequence of half-time draws away from home also points to the possibility of a close opening period. Yet their five-match average of 2.4 goals conceded presents a clear obstacle if Alajuelense reproduce the scoring level shown across their own recent run.
Goals have been common in Alajuelense’s league games, but the available figures do not establish that this particular match must be high-scoring. The clearer distinction is in overall results: an unbeaten home team over its last five fixtures faces an away side still searching for a win across the same span. Pérez Zeledón have grounds to believe they can compete, especially after the 1-1 head-to-head draw, but Alajuelense’s form and league record give them the stronger case for three points.
Alajuelense vs Pérez Zeledón prediction from BetMines: Alajuelense win (1) with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alajuelense
Pérez Zeledón
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2