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Alajuelense
1 - 2
FT
Sporting San José
Prediction published on Feb 14, 2026 1:01 AM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 14, 2026 1:01 AM
The upcoming clash in the Costa Rican Liga Promerica sees Alajuelense hosting Sporting San José in what promises to be a compelling Sunday encounter. The home side are eager to return to winning ways after a recent setback in the domestic cup, while the visitors aim to build on a modest unbeaten streak despite their struggles in the league standings. With both teams at different ends of the table, this fixture could have a significant impact on their respective campaigns.
Alajuelense enter this match sitting third in the Primera Division standings, just four points off the top. Despite a recent elimination in the Costa Rica Cup, their league form remains solid. They drew 1-1 against Herediano on February 8, extending a run that includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches. Over that period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Across the season, Alajuelense’s consistency has been remarkable: 16 wins, 9 draws, and only 3 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Their home record is particularly impressive — they have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home games and have not trailed at half-time in 19 of those. This resilience makes them one of the toughest sides to beat on home soil.
Another notable trend is their involvement in corner-heavy matches. Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures, underlining their attacking intent and territorial dominance. Even when goals have been scarce — with Under 0.5 goals in 4 of their last 20 home games — Alajuelense have maintained control and composure throughout.
Sporting San José currently occupy ninth place in the table, having collected just five points so far. They drew 1-1 against Guadalupe on February 9, a result that extended their run of mixed performances. In their last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Over the course of the season, Sporting San José’s record stands at 4 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Their matches tend to be low-scoring affairs — Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 league games, while Under 0.5 goals have occurred in 4 of their last 13 overall and 3 of their last 10 away fixtures. These figures highlight a team that struggles to find the net but often keeps games tight.
Although their recent unbeaten streak offers a glimmer of hope, Sporting San José face a daunting challenge away from home. Their attacking output has been limited, and they will need to improve significantly to trouble one of the league’s most consistent sides.
The historical record between these two teams heavily favors Alajuelense. In their last five meetings, the Rojinegros have achieved 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.2. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Alajuelense on November 23, 2025, further reinforcing their dominance in this fixture.
From a tactical perspective, Alajuelense’s strength lies in their defensive organization and ability to control possession, especially at home. Their disciplined backline and efficient attack make them a formidable opponent. Sporting San José, on the other hand, tend to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on compact defending and counterattacks. However, their limited scoring record suggests they may struggle to capitalize on the few chances they create.
Given the contrast in form and quality, the match is expected to be played largely on Alajuelense’s terms. The hosts’ ability to maintain pressure and create set-piece opportunities could prove decisive, particularly considering their strong record in matches with high corner counts.
All indicators point toward a home advantage for Alajuelense. Their superior league position, consistent home performances, and dominant head-to-head record make them clear favorites. Sporting San José’s defensive resilience might keep the scoreline respectable, but their lack of attacking threat could limit their chances of an upset.
According to the latest probabilities, the likelihoods are as follows:
Additionally, the data suggests a 55% probability for Under 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for Both Teams To Score – No, reinforcing the expectation of a controlled, low-scoring contest dominated by the home side.
Alajuelense vs Sporting San José prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alajuelense
Sporting San José
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2