Tools
Prediction published on May 7, 2026 5:05 PM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on May 7, 2026 5:05 PM
The upcoming Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Kayserispor promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the battle for survival. With the season nearing its conclusion, both sides are desperate for points to secure their top-flight status. The home team, nicknamed the Thunders, sit in a relatively safer position but still need a single point to be mathematically certain of staying up. The visitors, known as the Anatolian Stars, are in a more precarious situation and must get a positive result to keep their hopes alive heading into the final round.
Alanyaspor currently occupy 12th place in the Super Lig standings with 34 points, six ahead of the relegation zone. Their recent form, however, has been inconsistent, with no wins in their last five matches across all competitions. During this period, they have recorded two draws and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw away at Antalyaspor on May 3, 2026.
Throughout the season, Alanyaspor’s record stands at 6 wins, 16 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. This balance reflects a team that often struggles to convert opportunities into victories but remains difficult to beat. Notably, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 matches, suggesting that their games tend to open up after the break. On the other hand, under 0.5 goals have been recorded in only a handful of their recent home fixtures, showing that while they may not score freely, they rarely play in completely dull affairs.
At home, Alanyaspor have been particularly prone to draws, often finding themselves unable to hold onto leads or break down compact defenses. Their resilience, however, has been key to keeping them above the relegation line, and a single point here would secure their safety for another season.
Kayserispor enter this match in 17th place, one point behind the safety zone. Their recent performances have been mixed, with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five league games. They drew 1-1 against Eyüpspor on May 3, 2026, following a 2-0 home victory over Rizespor that ended a poor run of results. Before that, they suffered heavy defeats — 4-0 against Fenerbahce and 3-0 at Gaziantep — which severely dented their goal difference and confidence.
Across the season, Kayserispor’s record stands at 5 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. They also have a worrying trend of poor first halves — they have not led at halftime in their last 22 matches overall and have lost at halftime in six of their last ten games. Despite these struggles, they remain competitive in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 34 of their last 37 league matches.
Kayserispor’s main challenge lies in their inability to start games strongly. Their defensive lapses in the opening stages often leave them chasing matches. However, their determination to fight back in the second half could make this encounter unpredictable, especially given their desperate need for points.
Historically, meetings between Alanyaspor and Kayserispor have been tight affairs, with their last head-to-head ending in a 0-0 draw on December 13, 2025. Across their last five encounters, Alanyaspor have two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. These numbers suggest another low-scoring, evenly balanced contest could be on the cards.
Both teams have shown a tendency to draw matches this season — Alanyaspor with 16 and Kayserispor with 12. The home side’s defensive discipline contrasts with the visitors’ urgency to attack, which could result in a cautious first half followed by a more open second period. Given that both sides often see goals after halftime, the second half might provide the decisive moments.
With Alanyaspor needing just a point to secure safety and Kayserispor desperate to avoid defeat, a draw seems the most logical outcome. The Thunders will likely prioritize defensive solidity, while the Anatolian Stars may struggle to find the cutting edge required to claim all three points.
Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 26% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0