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Prediction published on Jun 5, 2025 2:34 PM by Dario in Europe - WC Qualification Europe | Modified on Jun 7, 2025 8:08 AM
Separated by a deep-rooted historical and sporting rivalry, Albania and Serbia will meet on Friday, June 7, at the Air Albania Stadium in Tirana for Matchday 3 of Group K in the FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifiers. As previously mentioned, this is a high-tension encounter, with only two past meetings between the nations—one of which made headlines around the world in 2014. On that occasion, in their first-ever meeting, the match was abandoned due to a drone incident involving a "Greater Albania" flag, resulting in a forfeit win for Albania. Looking ahead to this upcoming fixture, it will mark Serbia's first match in the group, as they were engaged in the UEFA Nations League playoffs in March, where they faced Austria. Coach Dragan Stojkovic's side enters this clash in decent form, unbeaten in four games, though with only one win and three draws. Their away form remains a concern, with two draws and two defeats in their last four on the road. However, Serbia will be aiming for nothing less than three crucial points in this emotionally charged matchup—both to assert their technical superiority and to kick off their campaign with a victory that would put them level on points with Albania. The hosts, in fact, have already played two matches, suffering a loss to England in their opener and claiming a solid win against Andorra. With three points on the board, Sylvinho's Albania currently sit second, level with Latvia but ahead on goal difference, trailing group leaders England, who are on maximum points. Beyond the intense political and sporting backdrop, this is expected to be a gritty and emotionally charged contest, with both teams fighting for qualification to the next World Cup.
Albania bounced back strongly in Matchday 2, defeating Andorra with a convincing 3-0 victory, thanks to a brace from Rey Manaj and a stoppage-time goal by Myrto Uzuni. This win came after their 2-0 defeat to England in the opening match. Over their last five games, Albania has recorded 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, averaging 1 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game.
Coach Sylvinho's squad found their rhythm at home once again, ending a run of three winless matches post-Euro 2024, which included a 1-0 defeat to Georgia, a 2-1 loss to Ukraine, and a 0-0 draw with the Czech Republic. The three goals scored against Andorra were also significant—it was the first time since a 3-1 friendly win over Azerbaijan last summer that Albania managed to score three goals at home.
Serbia, led by Dragan Stojkovic, comes into this fixture following their UEFA Nations League playoff success over Austria, which ensured their spot in League A. That two-legged playoff saw a 1-1 draw in Vienna and a 2-0 home victory, with goals from Maksimovic and Dusan Vlahovic.
In their last five matches, Serbia has managed 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game. Following last summer’s European Championship, the White Eagles endured back-to-back goalless defeats to Denmark and Spain, followed by draws with Switzerland and Austria.
Their last away win dates back to a friendly against Sweden last summer—a 3-0 win with goals from Milinkovic-Savic, Mitrovic, and Tadic.
The prediction for Albania vs Serbia, part of Matchday 3 in Group K of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers, suggests a tense and tightly contested match due to both the historical rivalry and the high stakes involved.
Aside from the forfeit win awarded to Albania in 2015, the only other head-to-head match was won by Serbia 2-0 away from home that same year, with both goals scored in stoppage time. Once again, this feels like a game that could be decided by a single key moment.
On paper, Serbia appears to have the edge. The attacking quality of Dusan Vlahovic—who scored against Austria—and Aleksandar Mitrovic—who bagged 28 goals this season with Al-Hilal—gives them a clear threat up front. Defensively, the trio of Milenkovic, Pavlovic, and Erakovic form a physically dominant and cohesive backline.
Albania, meanwhile, heavily relies on Rey Manaj up front—fresh off his brace against Andorra—and can count on experienced defenders like Berat Djimsiti and Elseid Hysaj, both key players in Serie A with Atalanta and Lazio respectively.
Given the circumstances, this is likely to be a balanced and hard-fought match, where goals could be limited. According to the BetMines prediction algorithm, the likeliest outcome is a low-scoring affair, with a higher probability of Under 2.5 goals being scored.
ALBANIA (4-2-3-1): Strakosha; Hysaj, Djimsiti, Ajeti, Mitaj; Asllani, Bajrami; Uzuni, Laci, Hoxha; Manaj.
Manager: Sylvinho
SERBIA (3-4-1-2): Petrovic; Milenkovic, Pavlovic, Erakovic; Zivkovic, Gudelj, Maksimovic, S. Mitrovic; Samardzic; Vlahovic, Mitrovic. Manager: Dragan Stojkovic
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Albania
Serbia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
6
4
2
8
2.5
8
2
3
7
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1