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Prediction published on Sep 25, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Sep 25, 2026 10:03 PM
AlbinoLeffe welcome Alcione to the Gewiss Stadium on September 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:30 local time. This seventh-round fixture in Serie C: Girone A brings together two closely matched teams, with the hosts ninth in the standings and the visitors eighth. AlbinoLeffe enter the contest after an entertaining 5-3 victory over Juventus Next Gen, a result that ended a four-match winless sequence. Alcione experienced the opposite emotion in their latest outing, suffering a 4-0 defeat against Union Brescia. Only one point separates their season records: the home side have two wins, two draws and two defeats, while Alcione have collected two victories, three draws and one loss. The recent head-to-head record favors AlbinoLeffe, but both teams have shown enough defensive vulnerability to make this an important and difficult test.
AlbinoLeffe returned to winning ways in emphatic fashion on September 20, scoring five times away to Juventus Next Gen in a 5-3 success. That result followed four consecutive matches without a victory and should provide a significant confidence boost before this home fixture. Their record across the last five games stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
The wider season figures tell a similar story. Marco Zaffaroni’s team have registered two wins, two draws and two losses in six league matches. They are averaging 1.5 goals per game while allowing 1.3, indicating a relatively balanced campaign in which their attacking output has been slightly stronger than their defensive return. However, the eight goals shared with Juventus Next Gen also underlined how quickly their matches can open up when defensive control is lost.
A first home victory of the season remains an objective for AlbinoLeffe. This meeting offers them an opportunity to build momentum and follow one positive result with another. Their history against Alcione provides encouragement: the hosts have won three of the four previous meetings between the teams. Across those encounters, AlbinoLeffe have averaged 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded.
Alcione travel to Bergamo seeking an immediate response to their 4-0 home loss against Union Brescia on September 20. It was their only defeat across the last five matches, a sequence that also includes one victory and three draws. During that period, Giovanni Cusatis’s side averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with the defensive numbers affected by the heavy setback in their latest appearance.
The visitors have nevertheless been slightly harder to beat over the full league campaign. Their current record is two wins, three draws and one defeat, while they have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Those figures place Alcione one position above AlbinoLeffe, although the gap between the teams is narrow and the visitors now need to show that the Union Brescia result was an isolated setback.
One of the clearest patterns in Alcione’s matches concerns the opening 45 minutes. Their last 13 away games have all produced under 1.5 first-half goals, while the same outcome has occurred in their last 12 away fixtures in Serie C: Girone A. It has also landed in 25 of Alcione’s last 27 matches across all competitions and in 23 of their last 25 league games.
The first-half scoring distribution reinforces the likelihood of a cautious opening. At least one team has failed to score before the interval in 34 of Alcione’s last 35 matches. Within Serie C: Girone A, that trend has appeared in 32 of their previous 33 games. These sequences suggest that Alcione fixtures often remain controlled during the first half, even when the final score eventually becomes more expansive.
There are contrasting signals ahead of this contest. Recent results show considerable defensive vulnerability, with AlbinoLeffe involved in a 5-3 match and Alcione coming from a 4-0 defeat. The season averages also show both teams scoring 1.5 goals per game, while each has conceded more than one goal per fixture. On the other hand, Alcione’s repeated first-half trends indicate that the match may take time to develop rather than becoming open immediately.
The head-to-head record gives AlbinoLeffe an important advantage. They have won three of the four previous clashes, with no draws in the series. The hosts also collected maximum points in both of the earlier meetings played on their own ground. However, the most recent encounter on April 25, 2026 ended in a 2-1 Alcione victory, bringing AlbinoLeffe’s previous run of success in this fixture to an end.
The available match probabilities underline how competitive the contest could be. AlbinoLeffe have a 45% win probability, compared with 29% for the draw and 25% for an Alcione victory. The goals data give a 59% probability to under 2.5 goals, while the probability of both teams scoring is 47%. Those numbers point toward a match in which the home side have an edge, but not enough of one to dismiss the possibility of a tightly contested draw.
AlbinoLeffe’s priority will be to carry forward the attacking confidence created by scoring five goals in their previous game while showing more defensive stability. Alcione, meanwhile, must react after conceding four and try to reproduce the resilience that helped them draw three of their last five matches. With the hosts holding the stronger head-to-head record and the visitors proving difficult to defeat for much of the season, home protection offers the most coherent overall conclusion.
AlbinoLeffe vs Alcione prediction from BetMines: AlbinoLeffe or Draw (1X) with 75% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AlbinoLeffe
Alcione
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2