The upcoming clash between Alcione and Union Brescia promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in Serie C: Girone A. It’s not just a Lombardy derby, but also a meeting between two sides fighting for high positions in the table. The visitors currently sit second, while the hosts are seventh, both aiming to consolidate their spots as the season enters its decisive phase. The match will take place on Friday evening at the Breda Stadium in Sesto San Giovanni, and expectations are high for a tight and tactical encounter.

Alcione’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alcione approach this game in solid form, having avoided defeat in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Pro Patria on March 7, 2026. The team’s defensive consistency has been a major strength this season, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per match while scoring 1.0. In total, their Serie C record stands at 14 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses.

Low-scoring games have been a defining feature of Alcione’s campaign. In fact, Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in 19 of their last 21 league matches, and Under 3.5 goals in 24 of the last 25. At home, the trend continues with Under 1.5 goals at half time in each of their last 10 matches. This pattern highlights their cautious approach and defensive discipline, often prioritizing structure over risk-taking in attack.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Average conceded: 0.4


• Under 2.5 goals in 19 of last 21 matches


• Under 8.5 corners in last 8 home games

Given these numbers, Alcione’s matches rarely turn into goal-fests. Their ability to keep things tight could once again be crucial against one of the division’s strongest sides.

Union Brescia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Union Brescia remain in second place but have shown some inconsistency in recent weeks. After two consecutive victories, they slowed down with a draw and a defeat, including a goalless 0-0 against Triestina on March 7, 2026. Their overall record in Serie C: Girone A is impressive — 16 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses — with an average of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per match.

Despite their strong position, Brescia’s away form suggests a cautious approach. They have drawn at half time in 11 of their last 13 away matches, and Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in all 13 of those games. Their defensive organization often keeps opponents at bay, but they sometimes struggle to convert possession into goals, especially away from home.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 1.2


• Under 3.5 goals in last 13 away matches


• Drawn at half time in 11 of last 13 away games

With a 41% chance of victory according to the latest probabilities, Union Brescia enter as slight favorites. However, their recent performances suggest that breaking down Alcione’s compact defense could be a challenge.

Alcione vs Union Brescia Analysis and Prediction

When these two sides met earlier in the season, Union Brescia claimed a narrow 1-0 win. That result perfectly reflects the nature of their encounters — tight, tactical, and low-scoring. Both teams have shown a clear tendency toward defensive solidity, with Alcione’s matches frequently ending with fewer than three goals and Brescia’s away fixtures following the same pattern.

Given the statistics, it’s reasonable to expect another close contest where chances come at a premium. Alcione’s home resilience and Brescia’s disciplined approach could lead to a match dominated by midfield battles rather than open attacking play. The likelihood of a draw at half time is also high, considering both teams’ recent trends.

From a betting perspective, the data strongly supports a low-scoring outcome. With Under 2.5 goals occurring in 19 of Alcione’s last 21 matches and in most of Brescia’s away fixtures, this market appears to offer the best value. The probability of this outcome stands at 70%, making it the most reliable prediction for this Serie C encounter.

Alcione vs Union Brescia prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 70% probability.