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Aldosivi
5:30 PM
September 21, 2026
Atlético Tucumán
Prediction published on Sep 19, 2026 5:33 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 19, 2026 5:33 PM
Aldosivi host Atlético Tucumán in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 21, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time at Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata. The home side enter the fixture after four defeats in their last five matches, while the visitors have lost only once across the same period. Aldosivi are ranked 15th and Atlético Tucumán eighth, although neither team has produced consistently strong attacking numbers over the season. The hosts average 0.7 goals per league match, compared with 0.9 for the visitors, creating the prospect of a competitive but potentially low-scoring encounter. Atlético Tucumán also travel with an encouraging recent away record, having collected four victories and one draw from their previous five games on the road.
Aldosivi are attempting to recover from a dramatic 4-3 defeat against Independiente Rivadavia on September 12. That result extended a difficult sequence in which they have registered one victory and four defeats across their last five matches. During that run, Aldosivi averaged 1.6 goals scored but conceded 2.4 per game, underlining the defensive problems that have accompanied their recent results.
Their broader league record is also challenging. Aldosivi have recorded one win, ten draws and 14 defeats in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, scoring an average of 0.7 goals and conceding 1.4 per fixture. They have failed to win in 24 of their last 25 league matches, a sequence that places considerable importance on finding greater control at both ends of the pitch.
Home advantage has not consistently solved those difficulties. Five of Aldosivi's last 12 home league matches ended without a goal, while the same outcome occurred in five of their last 14 home fixtures across all competitions. In total, five of their previous 25 league games have also finished goalless. Those figures contrast with the seven-goal contest against Independiente Rivadavia and show that Aldosivi's matches can shift between defensive stalemates and more open encounters.
Atlético Tucumán arrive after a 1-1 draw with Independiente Rivadavia on September 16. That match was followed by a successful penalty shootout that sent Atlético Tucumán into the Copa Argentina semi-finals. Across their latest five appearances, the visitors have collected one victory, three draws and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals both scored and conceded.
Their Liga Profesional de Fútbol record stands at six wins, nine draws and ten defeats. Atlético Tucumán average 0.9 goals per league fixture and concede 1.0, numbers that suggest narrow margins frequently shape their matches. Their recent away performances nevertheless provide a positive foundation: the team has four wins and one draw from its last five away games. The supplied match context also shows that ten of their 13 Clausura points were earned away from home.
Atlético Tucumán's results contain a particularly clear trend regarding the overall score. Each of their last 18 league matches has produced fewer than 3.5 goals, as have their last ten away fixtures. Looking across all competitions, 21 of their previous 22 games have also stayed below the 3.5-goal line. In addition, four of their last ten league matches and four of their last 11 overall have ended goalless.
The opening period has often been controlled. Atlético Tucumán's last 16 matches have contained fewer than 1.5 first-half goals, including each of their previous 13 league appearances. However, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their last 20 away matches. This combination points toward fixtures that can begin cautiously before becoming more active after the interval.
The contrast between Aldosivi's poor long-term league sequence and Atlético Tucumán's recent away record is central to this match preview. The visitors have been more reliable on the road, whereas Aldosivi have won only once in 25 league matches. The estimated match-result probabilities still indicate a relatively balanced contest: Atlético Tucumán have a 38% chance of winning, compared with 33% for Aldosivi and 29% for the draw.
The teams drew 1-1 in their most recent head-to-head meeting on March 12, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Aldosivi's perspective, the record is one victory, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That history offers Atlético Tucumán a narrow results advantage, but it does not suggest a one-sided matchup.
Goals may therefore provide the more significant angle. The probability of both teams scoring is almost evenly divided, with 49% for Yes and 51% for No. The under 2.5-goal outcome is rated at 58%, compared with 42% for over 2.5. Although Aldosivi's latest match produced seven goals, their low season scoring average and multiple goalless home results must be weighed against Atlético Tucumán's extended run of games below 3.5 goals.
Atlético Tucumán's first-half statistics also support the possibility of a patient opening, while their second-half away trend indicates that the decisive action may arrive later. Aldosivi need to improve a defense that has conceded 2.4 goals per match across the last five, but the visitors' average of only 0.8 scored during their own five-game sequence means a high total is far from guaranteed. Taken together, the season averages, recent low-scoring patterns and previous 1-1 meeting make a match with fewer than three goals the most coherent conclusion.
Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Aldosivi
Atlético Tucumán
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0