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Aldosivi
3 - 1
FT
Banfield
Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 4:40 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 4:40 PM
Aldosivi host Banfield in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time at Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata. Both teams enter the fixture under considerable pressure after difficult sequences of results. Aldosivi are ranked 15th and remain without a league victory this season, while 12th-placed Banfield have lost three of their last four Clausura matches. Recent games involving the two sides have produced several high-scoring results, largely because of defensive problems. However, the broader statistics also contain strong indications of a tighter contest, particularly in Aldosivi's home fixtures. With neither team carrying convincing form into the match, efficiency in front of goal and the ability to avoid another costly defensive display could determine the outcome.
Aldosivi approach this home match after a 2-1 defeat against Argentinos Juniors on August 30. That result extended a deeply concerning run: the hosts have collected no wins, one draw and four defeats across their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged only 0.6 goals scored and conceded 1.8 per game, illustrating the problems affecting both ends of the pitch.
The season record is equally difficult. Aldosivi have registered no victories, ten draws and 13 defeats in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, averaging 0.5 goals for and 1.3 against. They have now gone 23 league matches without a win and have failed to win 19 of their last 20 games across the wider sample. The departure of Israel Damonte following the poor run adds another element of uncertainty ahead of this fixture.
The team's two latest matches both went above 2.5 total goals, with Aldosivi conceding twice against Argentinos Juniors and three times against Independiente Rivadavia de Mendoza. Four of their games in this competition have featured more than 2.5 goals. Nevertheless, their longer-term home numbers point in a different direction. Five of their last 11 home matches in the league finished with no goals, while the same outcome occurred in five of their last 13 home fixtures across all competitions.
Banfield also arrive after a defeat, having lost 3-2 against River Plate on August 30. Their last five matches have returned one win, one draw and three losses, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Those figures show slightly stronger attacking production than Aldosivi, but they also underline the defensive vulnerability that has contributed to Banfield's recent setbacks.
Across the league season, Banfield have recorded seven victories, four draws and 12 defeats. They are averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Pedro Troglio's side have failed to win their recent games against Newell's Old Boys, River Plate and Midland, recording two defeats and one draw. All three of those fixtures went above 2.5 goals, continuing a short-term pattern of open matches.
The visitors therefore have reasons to believe they can create opportunities against a team conceding regularly, but their own form offers little room for complacency. Banfield have lost three of their last four Clausura fixtures and conceded an average of 1.8 goals over their latest five matches. Another notable trend concerns corners, with fewer than 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last four league games. In terms of goals, two of Banfield's last ten league matches ended without a goal, showing that their recent high-scoring run is not the only pattern within the available data.
This fixture presents two competing statistical narratives. The immediate results support the possibility of goals: Aldosivi have produced consecutive matches above 2.5 goals, while Banfield's games against Newell's Old Boys, River Plate and Midland also crossed that line. The article's historical sample additionally notes that six of Banfield's last eight visits to Aldosivi finished with more than 2.5 goals. Defensive weakness has been central to these sequences, with both clubs conceding 1.8 goals per game across their respective last-five records.
However, the wider structured data gives substantial weight to a lower-scoring outcome. Aldosivi average just 0.5 goals per league match, while Banfield's season average stands at 1.0. The hosts have also been involved in several goalless home games, and at least one team failed to score before half-time in 37 of Aldosivi's last 40 matches. Furthermore, 18 of their previous 20 home fixtures produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. These numbers suggest that an explosive opening should not be assumed despite the defensive errors seen in the latest games.
The head-to-head information also leans toward restraint. The most recent meeting ended 2-0 on March 3, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Aldosivi have three wins and two defeats, with no draws, while averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. That equates to a modest combined scoring profile across the sample. The current probabilities similarly favor fewer goals, placing Under 2.5 at 63%, compared with 37% for Over 2.5. They also give Both Teams To Score No a 56% probability.
As for the match result, the estimates are closely grouped. Aldosivi hold a 38% win probability, the draw is assessed at 30%, and Banfield have a 31% chance of victory. The home side's long winless sequence makes it difficult to approach them with confidence, even though they have the highest individual result probability. Banfield possess the better season record, but three defeats in their last five matches prevent the visitors from looking dependable. With uncertainty surrounding the winner, the season-long scoring figures and Aldosivi's repeated low-goal home trends provide the clearest basis for the
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Aldosivi
Banfield
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2