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Aldosivi
5:30 PM
August 21, 2026
Unión Santa Fe
Prediction published on Aug 19, 2026 6:08 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Aug 19, 2026 6:08 PM
Aldosivi host Unión Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 21, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time. The fixture takes place at Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata and brings together two teams separated by only one place in the competition ranking: Aldosivi are 15th and Unión Santa Fe are 14th. Despite that narrow gap, the hosts remain without a league victory after 21 matches, while the visitors will look to recover from a difficult recent sequence. The statistical picture points towards a closely contested encounter in which goals may be limited.
Aldosivi enter this home match following a 0-0 draw against Tigre on August 15. That result extended their winless league run to 21 games, a sequence that has become the central issue of their campaign. Their season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol stands at zero wins, 10 draws and 11 defeats, showing that they have managed to avoid defeat regularly but have not yet turned any of those competitive performances into a victory.
Their latest numbers offer little attacking encouragement. Across the last five matches, Aldosivi have recorded two draws and three losses, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their broader league averages are even more restrictive in attack, with 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per fixture. These figures help explain why so many of their matches have developed into low-scoring contests.
The trend is particularly clear at home. Each of Aldosivi's last 11 home matches has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, including their last 10 home fixtures in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Five of their last 10 league games at home have ended without a goal from either side, while the same goalless outcome has occurred in five of their last 21 league matches overall. These are strong indicators that the home side's fixtures often remain tight for long periods.
The first half has frequently been even more cautious. At least one team has failed to score before the interval in 37 of Aldosivi's last 40 matches, and 18 of their previous 20 home games have produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. After the latest goalless draw, Aldosivi must search for greater attacking efficiency without losing the structure that has allowed them to collect 10 draws during the season.
Unión Santa Fe travel to this fixture after losing 2-1 against Atlético Tostado on August 15. Their short-term form has also been difficult, with one victory and four defeats across the last five matches. During that run, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, so an improvement at both ends will be required if they are to take advantage of Aldosivi's prolonged wait for a win.
The visitors' season record is more productive than their recent sequence suggests. Unión Santa Fe have registered seven wins, seven draws and nine losses in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, averaging 1.4 goals both scored and conceded. Unlike Aldosivi, they have demonstrated the ability to turn matches into victories, although four defeats in their latest five outings prevent them from approaching this contest with clear momentum.
There is also a significant vulnerability in Unión Santa Fe's defensive record. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 matches, while their run without an away league clean sheet has reached 13 games. That statistic gives Aldosivi an opportunity despite the hosts' low scoring average. Unión cannot assume that their opponent's attacking problems will automatically produce a comfortable evening.
Second-half action has been a consistent feature of the visitors' matches. More than 0.5 goals have been scored after half-time in each of Unión Santa Fe's last 18 league fixtures and in all of their previous 13 away league games. The same pattern has appeared in 19 of their last 20 matches across the wider sample. Consequently, patience could be important if the opening period follows Aldosivi's usual low-event pattern.
The latest head-to-head meeting finished 1-0 on February 23, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Aldosivi have two wins, one draw and two losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. That balanced record offers no evidence of overwhelming superiority for either side, but it does reinforce the possibility of another match decided by a narrow margin.
The outcome probabilities are similarly close. Aldosivi have a 33% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 31%, and Unión Santa Fe hold a slight edge at 36%. The decimal odds also favor the visitors without presenting them as strong favorites: an Aldosivi win is available at 3.30, the draw at 2.90 and a Unión Santa Fe victory at 2.35. Unión's stronger season record and Aldosivi's 21-match winless sequence support that marginal away advantage, but the visitors' four defeats in five matches make the result market difficult to treat with complete confidence.
The goals data provides a clearer direction. Under 2.5 goals is assessed at 64%, compared with 36% for over 2.5, while the corresponding decimal odds are 1.44 and 2.70. The probability of both teams scoring is 45%, with 55% assigned to at least one side failing to find the net. Aldosivi's low scoring average, repeated goalless home results and long run of games below 3.5 goals all support a restrained match rather than an open contest.
There is an interesting contrast between the likely phases of play. Aldosivi's first-half statistics suggest a slow beginning, but Unión Santa Fe's matches repeatedly produce a goal after the break. The hosts may therefore attempt to remain competitive through the opening period before the game becomes more active later on. Even if the second half delivers the decisive moment, the available evidence still favors a modest final total, with one or two goals appearing more consistent with the supplied trends than a high-scoring exchange.
Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Aldosivi
Unión Santa Fe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0