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Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:00 AM
October 23, 2026
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Prediction published on Oct 20, 2026 11:03 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga de Expansión MX | Modified on Oct 20, 2026 11:03 PM
Alebrijes de Oaxaca host Cruz Azul Hidalgo on October 23 in a Liga de Expansión MX match that matters to both teams’ hopes of reaching the liguilla. Alebrijes are 13th, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 15th. The hosts arrive after beating Universidad Guadalajara 2-1 and have won two matches in a row. The visitors also won their most recent game, defeating Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1. Both sides therefore have a result to build on, but neither has found consistent form across the season. Their meeting at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca brings together an Alebrijes side looking to extend its winning run and a Cruz Azul Hidalgo team seeking to improve on a difficult away record.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca produced an important result on October 18, winning 2-1 away to Universidad Guadalajara. The victory was their second in succession and gives them momentum at a point when every result matters to their liguilla ambitions. Their broader record is less convincing, however: across their last five matches, Alebrijes have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding 2.4 per game.
In Liga de Expansión MX this season, the hosts have five wins, one draw and seven losses. Their averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match show why the recent victories stand out from their season as a whole. Another relevant pattern is that both teams have scored in three of Alebrijes’ last four games. They have been involved in matches with late scoring, too: at least one goal has been scored in the second half in 20 of their last 22 league matches. That figure concerns total goals in those games, rather than goals scored by Alebrijes alone.
The challenge for the home side is to carry the confidence from its latest win into this fixture while addressing the goals it has conceded over the last five matches. The two-game winning sequence offers encouragement, but the wider results suggest that Alebrijes cannot rely on recent momentum alone.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo approach the trip after a 2-1 victory over Mineros de Zacatecas on October 17. They have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in that period. Those figures present a more balanced recent picture than their 15th-place ranking might suggest, even if they still need results in the final stretch of their liguilla pursuit.
Across the Liga de Expansión MX season, Cruz Azul Hidalgo have three wins, five draws and five defeats. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their away performances have been a particular obstacle: they have scored in only two away games and registered just one away win. Turning their latest victory into another positive result on the road is therefore a significant test.
The visitors have shown they can contribute goals recently, including twice in their win over Mineros de Zacatecas. Yet their limited scoring record away from home makes this fixture different from the one they have just won. Against an Alebrijes side coming off consecutive victories, Cruz Azul Hidalgo will need to overcome the away difficulties that have restricted their progress.
The recent wins on both sides give this match a different complexion from a simple comparison of league rankings. Alebrijes have the stronger immediate sequence, with two consecutive victories, but they have also conceded an average of 2.4 goals across their last five matches. Cruz Azul Hidalgo have a win of their own to build on, although their record of scoring in only two away fixtures remains a clear concern.
Goals at both ends are a notable feature of Alebrijes’ recent games, occurring in three of their last four. Their season-long goals-conceded average and Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s recent scoring average add context to that pattern. It is not a one-sided picture: Alebrijes average fewer than one goal scored per league match, while the visitors’ away scoring record calls for caution. The available figures point to a competitive contest without removing the uncertainty around either attack.
The teams’ head-to-head summary stands at one win apiece from two meetings, and their last recorded encounter finished 2-0 on February 1, 2014. That older result offers limited guidance compared with their current form. For this match, the central question is whether Alebrijes can make their winning run count at home or Cruz Azul Hidalgo can follow up their latest victory despite their away difficulties. With both clubs still pursuing a liguilla place, the result carries weight for each.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2