Alebrijes welcome Durango on September 11, 2026, as the Liga de Expansión MX Apertura campaign continues. The match is scheduled for 01:00 local time at the Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. Both clubs enter this fixture after difficult starts: Durango are 12th with eight points, while Alebrijes sit one place behind with seven. Their limited scoring records have contributed heavily to those positions. Alebrijes average 0.9 goals per league match this season, with Durango producing an even lower average of 0.6. The visitors have also gone five matches without a victory, although the hosts arrive after suffering a heavy defeat in their latest appearance. With only one point and one position separating the teams, this contest provides both sides with an opportunity to improve their situation.

Alebrijes Recent Form and Key Statistics

Alebrijes have recorded two wins, one draw and four defeats in seven Liga de Expansión MX matches this season. They are scoring an average of 0.9 goals while conceding 1.7 per game, leaving their defensive record as a clear concern before the visit of Durango.

The home side’s most recent result was a 4-1 defeat against Morelia on September 6. That setback underlined the defensive difficulties shown across the campaign, although their broader five-match sequence is more balanced than the latest score might suggest. Alebrijes have won twice, drawn once and lost twice during that period, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

Those recent numbers indicate that Alebrijes have been more productive over their last five fixtures than across the season as a whole. However, consistency remains an issue, with the team currently occupying 13th place. Their opportunity here comes against an opponent positioned only one place higher and experiencing an even longer winless sequence.

Another notable pattern concerns the timing of goals in Alebrijes matches. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in 22 of their last 24 Liga de Expansión MX games. That does not necessarily point to a high-scoring contest, but it suggests that the match may be more likely to open up after the interval than during the first half.

• Season record: two wins, one draw and four defeats.
• Last five matches: two wins, one draw and two defeats.
• Season averages: 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
• Latest result: a 4-1 loss against Morelia.

Durango Recent Form and Key Statistics

Durango returned to the Liga de Expansión MX for this tournament but have also endured an unconvincing opening phase. Their season record stands at two victories, two draws and three defeats. With eight points, they are 12th and hold a narrow one-point advantage over Alebrijes.

The visitors drew 1-1 with Tlaxcala on September 5. While that result ended in a share of the points, it also extended a five-match run without a win. Durango have collected two draws and suffered three defeats in that sequence, scoring only 0.4 goals per match and conceding an average of 1.6.

Their full-season figures offer a similar picture in attack. Durango average just 0.6 goals scored per league game, compared with 1.1 conceded. Their defensive average is better than Alebrijes’ mark of 1.7 conceded, but the lack of goals at the other end has prevented them from turning that relative solidity into stronger results.

Durango’s recent matches have consistently remained below a high scoring threshold. Each of their last 10 matches finished under 3.5 total goals, while two of those fixtures contained no goals at all. This pattern, combined with their five-game attacking average, makes another controlled scoreline a realistic possibility.

• Season record: two wins, two draws and three defeats.
• Last five matches: no wins, two draws and three defeats.
• Season averages: 0.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
• Latest result: a 1-1 draw against Tlaxcala.

Alebrijes vs Durango Match Analysis

The clearest theme surrounding this fixture is the modest attacking output of both teams. Across the season, Alebrijes and Durango combine for an average of only 1.5 goals scored per match. Their recent numbers reinforce that concern, especially for Durango, who have managed just 0.4 goals per game over their last five appearances.

Alebrijes have the stronger recent results, having won two of their previous five matches, but their 4-1 loss to Morelia makes it difficult to overlook their vulnerability without the ball. Durango have not won during the same five-game period, yet they have conceded fewer goals on average across the full league campaign. The hosts therefore bring slightly better recent winning form, while the visitors hold the more reliable season-long defensive average.

The supplied result probabilities reflect an uncertain contest. Durango have a 43% chance of winning, compared with 29% for Alebrijes and 28% for the draw. However, the goals markets are much tighter: both teams to score is assessed at 51%, while under 2.5 total goals also stands at 51%. This narrow distribution highlights how evenly balanced several possible outcomes appear before kick-off.

The previous meeting ended 1-1 on February 15, 2023. In the supplied head-to-head summary, Alebrijes are unbeaten with one victory and two draws, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That historical summary favors the hosts, but the current campaign presents a different immediate challenge, with both clubs positioned near each other and struggling for attacking efficiency.

Durango’s sequence of 10 consecutive matches under 3.5 goals provides the most sustained trend available for the final assessment. Alebrijes’ strong tendency to feature a second-half goal could still produce a decisive moment after the break, but neither side’s current scoring average supports expectations of a particularly open match. A close contest with limited clear separation on the scoreboard is therefore the most coherent outlook.

Alebrijes vs Durango prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 51% probability.