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Alianza Atlético
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Alianza Lima
Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 7:01 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 7:01 AM
The third round of the Peruvian Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Alianza Atlético de Sullana and Alianza Lima, two sides with contrasting recent fortunes. The match will take place at the Estadio Campeones del 36, where the home team will look to bounce back after a narrow defeat in Andahuaylas. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with mixed emotions, having started their league campaign strongly but suffering disappointment in continental competition. With both teams eager to consolidate their positions near the top of the table, this encounter promises intensity and tactical discipline.
Alianza Atlético enter this fixture sitting 8th in the Primera Division standings. Their recent 1-0 loss against Los Chankas on February 8 ended a positive run, but the team’s overall form remains solid. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. This defensive consistency has been a defining feature of their performances, particularly at home.
At the Estadio Campeones del 36, the “Vendaval del Norte” have proven difficult to beat, losing only three of their last ten home fixtures. Their defensive record is especially impressive: only three goals conceded in their last five home matches. This resilience has been key to their success, and it continues to underpin their ambitions for another strong season. Matches involving Alianza Atlético tend to be tight affairs, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 22 of their last 23 league games, including 16 consecutive home fixtures under that threshold.
Alianza Lima travel to Sullana ranked 3rd in the table, having collected two wins from their opening two league fixtures. However, their recent 1-1 draw against 2 de Mayo on February 12 highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. Over their last five matches, the “blanquiazules” have achieved two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite their attacking potential, their performances away from home have been inconsistent, with only two victories in their last five away outings.
Statistically, Alianza Lima’s matches tend to produce goals, with Over 1.5 goals in each of their last 14 Primera Division fixtures. They have also scored at least once in all of those games, showing a reliable offensive output. However, their defensive line has not been as solid, often allowing opponents to find the net. Away from home, they have seen Under 3.5 goals in 17 consecutive matches, suggesting a balance between attack and caution when playing outside Lima.
Historically, the meetings between Alianza Atlético and Alianza Lima have been competitive. Their most recent encounter ended 1-1 on July 27, 2025, reflecting the balance between the two sides. In their last five head-to-head clashes, Alianza Atlético have managed one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4. These numbers underline the challenge the home side faces against one of the league’s most talented squads.
From a tactical standpoint, Alianza Atlético will likely rely on their compact defensive structure and quick transitions, aiming to exploit any gaps left by the visitors. Alianza Lima, on the other hand, will seek to impose their rhythm through possession and attacking combinations, but they must be wary of the counterattacks that have often troubled them away from home. Given both teams’ recent trends, a low-scoring match seems plausible, with defensive organization playing a decisive role.
Considering the statistical patterns and current form of both teams, this fixture appears finely balanced. Alianza Atlético’s strong home record and defensive reliability contrast with Alianza Lima’s attacking consistency but occasional defensive lapses. The historical data also supports a cautious outlook, with most of their recent meetings producing few goals.
BetMines prediction: Under 2.5 goals with a 62% probability. The numbers suggest a tight contest where neither side is likely to dominate completely, and a draw or narrow home result cannot be ruled out.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alianza Atlético
Alianza Lima
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1