The upcoming clash between Alianza Atlético and Sport Huancayo promises to be a tight and tactical battle in the Peruvian Primera División. Both sides arrive with mixed results and a clear need to consolidate their position in the table. The home team seeks to capitalize on its local advantage and the demanding conditions of Sullana, while the visitors aim to recover after a recent setback away from home. With both teams showing fluctuating form, this encounter could be defined by small details and defensive discipline rather than attacking fireworks.

Alianza Atlético’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alianza Atlético come into this match after a 0-2 defeat against Macará on May 1, a result that extended a difficult run of form. In their last five matches, they have recorded just one win, no draws, and four defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. These numbers reflect a team that often struggles to find the net but remains relatively solid defensively.

At home, Alianza Atlético have shown a clear trend toward low-scoring encounters. In fact, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 20 of their last 21 home matches, while Under 1.5 goals at half time has occurred in each of their last 10 home fixtures in the Primera División. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score before the break in 31 of their last 33 league games. These patterns suggest that the team tends to start cautiously, focusing on maintaining defensive order before taking risks in attack.

• Ranking: 12th in the Primera División.


• Season record: 3W – 5D – 4L.


• Average goals scored: 0.9 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 0.9 per match.


• Under 3.5 goals in 20 of their last 21 home matches.


• At least one team failed to score at half time in 31 of their last 33 league games.

Despite their modest attacking numbers, Alianza Atlético remain a combative side, capable of making life difficult for any opponent. Their physical approach and home advantage could be decisive factors in this fixture, especially under the demanding conditions that often characterize their home games.

Sport Huancayo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Sport Huancayo suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat against Cusco FC on April 26, ending a three-match unbeaten streak in the Apertura. Their recent form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five games, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Over the season, they have accumulated 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, scoring 14 goals and conceding 18. These figures underline their tendency to engage in open matches, where both scoring and conceding are frequent occurrences.

One of the most consistent trends in Sport Huancayo’s recent performances is the high probability of second-half goals. Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 26 of their last 28 league matches, showing that their games tend to open up after the break. This could be a key factor in this encounter, especially if the first half remains tight and goalless.

• Ranking: 15th in the Primera División.


• Season record: 3W – 3D – 6L.


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.5 per match.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 26 of their last 28 matches.

Sport Huancayo’s main challenge lies in improving their defensive consistency. While their attack can be effective, their backline often leaves gaps that opponents exploit. Away from home, maintaining concentration will be crucial, especially against a side that thrives on intensity and physical duels.

Alianza Atlético vs Sport Huancayo: Tactical Overview and Prediction

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Sport Huancayo, who have won three of the last five meetings, with two draws and no defeats for Alianza Atlético. The most recent encounter ended 0-0 on July 18, 2025, reinforcing the idea that this fixture often produces few goals. On average, Alianza Atlético have scored just 0.4 goals per game in these clashes, while conceding 1.8.

Given both teams’ current form and statistical tendencies, this match is likely to be a balanced and cautious affair. Alianza Atlético’s home games are typically low-scoring, while Sport Huancayo’s defensive fragility could be offset by their attacking intent. The first half may see limited chances, with the game potentially opening up slightly after the interval. However, the overall expectation remains for a match defined by defensive discipline rather than offensive flair.

In terms of probabilities, Alianza Atlético hold a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, compared to 29% for a draw and 25% for a Sport Huancayo win. The Under 2.5 goals market also appears strong, with a 61% likelihood, while Both Teams To Score – No stands at 56%.

Alianza Atlético vs Sport Huancayo prediction by BetMines:
The recommended pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% probability.