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Alianza Atlético
3 - 1
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Sporting Cristal
Prediction published on Aug 20, 2026 4:03 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Aug 20, 2026 4:03 AM
Alianza Atlético welcome Sporting Cristal for a Primera Division fixture on August 21, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 local time at Estadio Campeones del '36 in Sullana. The hosts enter the contest ranked 10th, while the visitors are second, but the wider match data suggests that the gap between their positions may not tell the whole story. Alianza Atlético have developed a solid home record, whereas Sporting Cristal have repeatedly encountered problems on the road. With both teams also showing the capacity to score and concede, this match offers an intriguing contrast between the hosts’ strength at their own ground and the visitors’ higher league ranking.
Alianza Atlético drew 1-1 with ADT on August 15 in their most recent match. Their last five fixtures have produced two victories, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Those numbers point to an uneven recent sequence: the hosts have carried a threat going forward, but they have also allowed opponents plenty of opportunities at the other end.
Across the Primera Division season, Alianza Atlético have recorded seven wins, seven draws and eight losses. They are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, reflecting a more balanced overall profile than their last five results. Their home performances are particularly significant before this contest. The Sullana side are unbeaten in their previous five matches at Estadio Campeones del '36 across all competitions, making home advantage one of the clearest factors in this preview.
The hosts have also scored first in eight of their last ten league games, demonstrating an ability to make positive starts. At their own ground, only two of their previous ten Primera Division matches have ended without a goal, so the available evidence generally points away from a completely scoreless contest. Alianza Atlético will therefore aim to use their recent home stability and early attacking impact to place Sporting Cristal under pressure.
Recent meetings at this venue provide Alianza Atlético with another encouraging reference point. They have avoided defeat in the last three head-to-head matches against Sporting Cristal played in Sullana. The broader five-game head-to-head summary is more balanced, with two Alianza Atlético victories, one draw and two defeats. Over that sample, the hosts averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per meeting.
Sporting Cristal arrive after a convincing 4-1 victory over Sport Huancayo on August 16. Like their opponents, they have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five matches. However, their recent scoring average is slightly higher at 1.6 goals per game, while they have conceded an average of 1.0. That latest result underlines the attacking potential carried by the second-ranked side.
The visitors’ season record stands at eight wins, five draws and nine losses. Sporting Cristal have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in the Primera Division, indicating that their league matches have frequently involved opportunities at both ends. Their attack has been especially consistent: they have scored at least once in 21 of their previous 22 league fixtures. Keeping them off the scoresheet has consequently been a rare achievement.
Defensive reliability away from home is a much greater concern. Sporting Cristal have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 away matches, and the information surrounding this fixture also shows that they have won only two of their previous 15 games on the road. Those trends create a difficult challenge against an Alianza Atlético team that has gone five home fixtures without losing.
The timing of the scoring action is another relevant feature of Sporting Cristal’s matches. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in 21 of their last 23 Primera Division games. The same pattern has appeared in 18 of their previous 20 away fixtures. Even if the opening stages are controlled, the data suggests that the contest may become more open after the interval.
The latest head-to-head encounter ended 3-1 on March 7, 2026. However, the five-match series is evenly divided in terms of wins, and Alianza Atlético’s three-game unbeaten run in home meetings gives the hosts a stronger situational case. Sporting Cristal hold the better league ranking and come into the game after scoring four times, but their away record and repeated defensive concessions prevent this from looking like a straightforward assignment.
The statistical probabilities give Alianza Atlético a 56% chance of winning, compared with 24% for the draw and 20% for a Sporting Cristal victory. The match odds offer 2.80 for a home win, 3.20 for a draw and 2.40 for an away win. This difference between the supplied probabilities and prices adds another layer to the contest, although the football trends themselves strongly support the possibility of the hosts taking something from the game.
There is also a narrow lean toward goals. Both Teams To Score is rated at 51%, while Over 2.5 goals also carries a 51% probability. Alianza Atlético have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches, while Sporting Cristal have scored in 21 of 22 league games. At the same time, the visitors have failed to keep an away clean sheet in their last 12 attempts. These figures provide a reasonable basis for expecting both attacks to have opportunities, without making a high-scoring outcome overwhelmingly likely.
Overall, the strongest angle comes from Alianza Atlético’s home resilience when set against Sporting Cristal’s difficulties away. The hosts have avoided defeat in five consecutive home games and in their last three home meetings with this opponent. Sporting Cristal’s attacking consistency means they remain dangerous throughout the match, particularly given the frequent second-half goals in their fixtures, but their record of only two victories from 15 away games makes it difficult to place complete confidence in them. A competitive encounter is likely, with Alianza Atlético’s ability to protect their home ground standing out as the decisive trend.
Alianza Atlético vs Sporting Cristal prediction from BetMines: Alianza Atlético or Draw (1X) with 80% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alianza Atlético
Sporting Cristal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1