The return leg between Alianza Lima and 2 de Mayo promises to be a tense and decisive clash in the opening phase of the Copa Libertadores. After the narrow 1-0 defeat suffered in Paraguay, the Peruvian side must now turn the tables at home to keep their continental hopes alive. The first leg was a tight affair, with both teams cancelling each other out until a late goal tipped the balance in favour of the hosts. Now, with the passionate support of their fans at Matute, Alianza Lima will look to overturn the deficit and secure qualification to the next round.

Alianza Lima’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alianza Lima approach this decisive encounter with a clear mission: to win by at least two goals. Their recent domestic form offers reasons for optimism, as they come off a 2-1 victory over Comerciantes Unidos on February 8, 2026. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Although their Copa Libertadores campaign began with a setback, losing 1-0 in the first leg, the team’s attacking potential remains evident.

At home, Alianza Lima have shown consistency, winning at half time in their last three home fixtures. Their matches tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 15 games. This pattern suggests that the team often grows stronger as the match progresses, something that could prove crucial in a tie where patience and precision will be key.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.6 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in second half: 15 consecutive matches


• Half-time wins at home: 3 in a row

Despite the first-leg loss, Alianza Lima’s intensity and dynamic style under their current management have been key traits. The team will likely rely on their offensive rhythm and the energy of their supporters to break down a disciplined opponent.

2 de Mayo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

2 de Mayo arrive in Lima with a valuable 1-0 advantage earned in the first leg, thanks to a late strike that sealed a historic win. Their objective now is to manage that lead and resist the expected pressure from the home side. The Paraguayan team’s recent form has been mixed, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five outings, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. However, their defensive resilience in the first leg showed that they can frustrate stronger opponents when needed.

In their domestic competition, 2 de Mayo recently drew 0-0 against Cerro Porteño, another sign of their ability to hold firm against attacking teams. Their Copa Libertadores record currently stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 1 goal scored and none conceded. Away from home, they have been involved in open games, with both teams scoring in the second half in 9 of their last 15 away fixtures. This suggests that while they can defend deep, they also tend to leave spaces as the match wears on.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.6 per match


• BTTS in second half (away): 9 of last 15 matches


• Last head-to-head: 1-0 win on February 5, 2026

2 de Mayo’s challenge will be to maintain composure under pressure and exploit any counterattacking opportunities that arise. Their defensive structure will be tested, but their confidence from the first-leg victory could provide the mental edge needed to withstand Alianza Lima’s offensive push.

Alianza Lima vs 2 de Mayo Analysis and Prediction

This second leg is expected to be a tightly contested battle between two sides with contrasting approaches. Alianza Lima will likely dominate possession and push forward from the start, while 2 de Mayo will aim to stay compact and strike on the break. The Peruvian side’s attacking momentum at home, combined with their tendency to score in the second half, could make the difference if they manage to stay patient and avoid defensive lapses.

However, the visitors’ disciplined defending and ability to frustrate opponents could keep the scoreline low, especially in the early stages. Given the context of the first leg and both teams’ recent scoring patterns, a cautious first half followed by a more open second period seems likely. The match could hinge on whether Alianza Lima can convert their chances before fatigue sets in.

According to the latest probabilities, Alianza Lima hold a 57% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 22% and a 2 de Mayo victory at 20%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option has a 53% likelihood, and the Over 2.5 goals market is also slightly favoured at 53%.

BetMines prediction for Alianza Lima vs 2 de Mayo: Home Win (1) with 57% probability.