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Alianza Lima
2 - 0
FT
ADC Juan Pablo II
Prediction published on Mar 20, 2026 8:02 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Mar 20, 2026 8:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Alianza Lima and ADC Juan Pablo II promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Apertura in Peru. The match will take place at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, where the home side will look to extend their unbeaten run and maintain their position near the top of the table. Meanwhile, the visitors will aim to bounce back after a disappointing home defeat and prove they can compete against one of the strongest teams in the league.
Alianza Lima come into this match as one of the most consistent teams in the Primera Division. They currently sit 2nd in the standings with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and no defeats. Their defensive solidity has been remarkable, conceding only 4 goals in 7 league matches, which translates to an average of just 0.6 goals conceded per game. Offensively, they have maintained a steady rhythm, averaging 1.4 goals scored per match.
Their recent 1-1 draw against Deportivo Garcilaso extended their unbeaten streak to seven matches in the Apertura. At home, the “Blanquiazules” have been particularly strong, going five consecutive games without defeat across all competitions. They have also shown consistency in the first halves of their matches, having not lost at half time in their last 17 games overall and in their last 15 league fixtures.
Another interesting trend is their attacking activity throughout the match. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of their last 10 home games, while the second halves have been even livelier, with goals in 19 of their last 21 matches. These numbers underline a balanced team that knows how to manage games and maintain pressure from start to finish.
ADC Juan Pablo II have had a more inconsistent start to their campaign. They currently occupy 9th place in the table with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats. Their last outing ended in a 2-3 home loss against Los Chankas, a result that halted their run of three consecutive victories. Despite their attacking potential — averaging 1.9 goals scored per match — their defensive record remains a major concern, as they have conceded 18 goals in just seven games, the worst in the league.
The “Auriblancos” have struggled to maintain defensive stability, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 16 league matches. Their away form has also been problematic, with only two wins in their last ten away fixtures. Moreover, they have often found themselves trailing early, having lost at half time in 8 of their last 12 league matches and in 12 of their last 19 away games.
Nevertheless, their attacking approach ensures that their matches are rarely dull. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 league games, and both halves tend to produce action, with over 0.5 goals recorded in the first and second halves of their last 12 and 10 matches respectively. This pattern suggests that their games are open and entertaining, even if defensive issues persist.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting strengths. Alianza Lima rely on their defensive discipline and structured play, while ADC Juan Pablo II depend on their attacking flair but struggle to keep opponents at bay. The home side’s ability to control matches and limit opposition chances could prove decisive, especially given the visitors’ defensive fragility.
Historically, Alianza Lima have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning both of their previous meetings and averaging 1.5 goals scored while conceding just 0.5. With their current form and home advantage, they are expected to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, given Juan Pablo II’s attacking tendencies, the match could still produce goals on both ends.
Considering the statistical trends, the encounter is likely to feature multiple goals. Both teams have been involved in matches with frequent scoring, and the visitors’ defensive record suggests that Alianza Lima will find the net more than once. The question will be whether Juan Pablo II can respond effectively away from home.
Alianza Lima vs ADC Juan Pablo II prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a probability of 77%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alianza Lima
ADC Juan Pablo II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2